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Tale of the Tape

Zacks Equity Research

Why the Earnings Streak Will Continue for Genworth Financial (GNW)
October 07, 2016


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Looking for a stock that might be in a good position to beat earnings at its next report? Consider Genworth Financial, Inc. (GNW - Analyst Report) , a firm in the Insurance-Life space, which could be a great candidate for another beat.

This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, GNW has beaten estimates by at least 15% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.

Earnings in Focus

Two quarters ago, GNW expected to post earnings of 14 cents per share, while it actually produced earnings of 21 cents per share, a beat of 50%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of 21 cents per share, when it actually produced earnings of 25 cents per share, a beat of 19.1%.

Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Genworth Financial. In fact, the Earnings ESPfor GNW is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.

GENWORTH FINL Price and EPS Surprise

After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company’s earnings prospects. This is the case for GNW, as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of 4.76%, so another beat could be around the corner.

This is particularly true when you consider that GNW has a great Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

When you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70%of the time, so it seems pretty likely that GNW could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.

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