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Tale of the Tape

Zacks Equity Research

Can The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Keep the Earnings Streak Alive This Quarter?
October 13, 2016

CAKE

Trades from $3

Looking for a stock that might be in a good position to beat earnings at its next report? Consider The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE - Free Report) , a firm in the Retail-Food & Restaurants industry, which could be a great candidate for another beat.

This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, CAKE has beaten estimates by at least 10% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.

Earnings in Focus

Two quarters ago, CAKE expected to post earnings of 60 cents per share, while it actually produced earnings of 68 cents per share, a beat of 13.3%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of 70 cents per share, when it actually produced earnings of 78 cents per share instead, representing a 11.4% surprise.

CHEESECAKE FACT Price and EPS Surprise

Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Cheesecake Factory. In fact, the Earnings ESP for CAKE is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.

After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company’s earnings prospects. This is the case for CAKE as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of 1.64%, so another beat could be around the corner.

This is particularly true when you consider that CAKE has a great Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

When you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70%of the time, so it seems pretty likely that CAKE could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.

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