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Red Robin (RRGB) Q3 Earnings Meet Estimates, Sales Top

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Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB - Free Report) reported third-quarter 2016 results with earnings meeting the Zacks Consensus Estimate and revenues beating the same.

Earnings & Revenue Discussion

Red Robin’s adjusted earnings of 38 cents per share were in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. However, earnings declined 34.5% year over year owing to weak comps and lower margins.

Revenues of $297.3 million marginally beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate and grew 4.9% year over year, driven by new restaurant openings.

Behind the Headline Numbers

During the quarter, restaurant revenues went up 5.1% year over year to $293.9 million. Franchise royalties and fee revenues, however, decreased 11.9% to about $3.4 million.

Company-owned restaurants’ comps declined 3.6% year over year, worse than the prior-quarter comps decline of 3.2%. The decrease was led by a 2.4% decline in traffic and a 1.2% fall in average guest check.

Despite lower cost of sales, restaurant-level operating profit margin decreased 300 basis points (bps) to 18.6% due to higher labor and occupancy costs and other restaurant operating expenses.

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, and amortization (EBITDA) decreased 12.5% to $27.3 million from $31.2 million in the year-ago quarter.
 

Fourth-Quarter Guidance

For the fourth quarter, the company expects total revenues to grow between 4.0% and 6.0%. The growth is expected to be driven by increased operating weeks associated with higher locations opened and acquired, partially offset by lower comparable restaurant revenue ranging between 1.5% and 3.5%.

The company plans to open five new Red Robin restaurants in the fourth quarter.

General and administrative costs are anticipated to be up to $22.0 million, while selling expenses are expected to be roughly 3.5% of total revenues.

Adjusted EBITDA is expected to range between $28 million and $32 million in the quarter. This brings full-year 2016 adjusted EBITDA expectation to a range of $141 million to $145 million, down from the previously issued guidance of $145 million and $150 million.

RED ROBIN GOURM Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Zacks Rank and Stocks to Consider

Currently, Red Robin carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).

Better-ranked restaurant stocks include Domino’s Pizza, Inc. (DPZ - Free Report) , Potbelly Corporation (PBPB - Free Report) and Wingstop, Inc. (WING - Free Report) .

Domino’s current year growth estimate is pegged at 22.8% compared with the industry average of 7%. It sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Potbelly currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). Its current year growth estimate is pegged at 26.7% compared with the industry average of 7%.

Wingstop current year growth estimate is pegged at 18.1% compared with the industry average of 7%. It currently carries a Zacks Rank #2.

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