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Here's Why Investors Should Retain TransUnion Stock for Now

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TransUnion (TRU - Free Report) stock has surged 68%, outperforming the 22.5% and 32.3% growth of the industry it belongs to and the Zacks S&P 500 composite in the past year, respectively.

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TRU has an expected long-term (three to five years) EPS growth rate of 20.9%. The company’s earnings for 2024 and 2025 are anticipated to rise 16% and 16.2% year over year, respectively. Revenues are expected to increase 8.9% in 2024 and 7.5% in 2025.

Factors That Auger Well for TRU

The TransUnion and Restaurant Dive report reveals that QSRs (Quick Service Restaurants) are improving profitability, with 64% reporting increased traffic despite price hikes in the current quarter of 2024. This success is attributed to effective value-driven messaging and targeted promotions like combo meals and family bundles. A key insight is that QSRs using demographic data in loyalty programs saw greater success with promotions. However, only 52% of QSRs leverage third-party data, suggesting a missed opportunity to personalize offers and improve customer engagement.

Moreover, the company’s recent partnership with First Orion and TNS contributes well to boosting TRU’s prospects. Together, these companies have launched branded calling with logos, providing secure, authenticated calls to prevent call spoofing. This feature is now available across the top three U.S. wireless carriers, helping businesses build trust with consumers and protect their brands from fraud.

More than 4,500 U.S. businesses, including 15% of Fortune 500 companies, have adopted the solution. The number of branded calls is growing rapidly and is expected to reach 5 billion by the end of 2024. This initiative combats robocall scams, which cost consumers billions annually, while enhancing customer engagement and brand security.

TransUnion’s commitment to rewarding shareholders through dividends is commendable. The company has demonstrated a strong track record, paying $81.8 million in dividends in 2023, up from $77.8 million in 2022 and $61.8 million in 2021. In the third quarter of 2024, TransUnion declared a cash dividend of 10.5 cents per share. These consistent dividend initiatives significantly boost investor confidence and reflect the company's dedication to returning value to its shareholders.

TransUnion's current ratio (a measure of liquidity) stood at 1.68 at the end of the third quarter of 2024, up from 1.66 in the previous quarter and 1.54 in the same quarter the previous year. A current ratio above 1 typically indicates that a company is well-positioned to meet its short-term obligations.

TRU: Key Risks to Watch

The surge in operating expenses imposes a significant challenge to TransUnion's bottom line. In the third quarter of 2024, total operating expenses increased by 17.4% compared to the previous year’s $791 million, excluding goodwill impairment costs. This upward trend has been consistent, with operating expenses growing by 14% in 2021, 34% in 2022 and 20% in 2023. These ongoing cost increases could affect the company’s bottom line in the future.

Moreover, TRU faces intense competition in a diverse market, with rivals varying across different business segments, geographical areas and industry verticals. This high level of competition limits its pricing power and puts pressure on its earnings.

TRU’s Zacks Rank and Stocks to Consider

TRU currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).

A couple of better-ranked stocks from the broader Zacks Business Services sector are Charles River Associates (CRAI - Free Report) and Parsons (PSN - Free Report) .

Charles River Associates currently carries a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy). It has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 16%.

CRAI delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 31%, on average.

Parsons presently sports a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

PSN has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 18.6%. It delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 17.5%, on average.


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