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Pinnacle Foods Upgraded to Buy: What's Driving the Stock?

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On Dec 20, Zacks Investment Research upgraded Pinnacle Foods, Inc. to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), probably driven by the company’s acquisitions and robust estimate revisions. Going by the Zacks model, companies sporting a Zacks Rank #2 have strong chances of outperforming the broader market in the near term.

Why the Upgrade?

Market sentiments have been favoring Pinnacle Foods since the beginning of 2016, as evident from the 23% rise in the company’s share price year to date, outpacing the Zacks categorized Food-Miscellaneous/Diversified industry’s 7.8% growth. Further, the company’s estimates for fourth-quarter 2016 and the full year have been rising over the past 60 days, indicating solid momentum in the stock.

Notably, the company reported strong results for the third quarter 2016, wherein its bottom line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate but revenues missed the same. In fact, the company has delivered an average positive surprise of 2.09% in the last four trailing quarters. Quarterly earnings of 53 cents per share surged 15.2% from the year-ago quarter figure, driven by double-digit sales growth, improved gross profit and a favorable productivity mix. Sales soared 19.3% year over year driven by the Boulder Brands acquisition (completed in January), higher pricing and increased volumes. Gross margin also expanded on the back of improved productivity, the Boulder Brands acquisition and a favorable product mix, offsetting the impact of input cost inflation.

PINNACLE FOODS Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

 

 

PINNACLE FOODS Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise | PINNACLE FOODS Quote

In fact, the Boulder Brands takeover is expected to contribute approximately 8−9 cents to adjusted earnings per share for the full year. Moreover, it is expected to contribute in the range of $460−$480 million to net sales.

However, Pinnacle Foods faces headwinds in the form of higher introductory costs related to product innovation. Moreover, increased consumer marketing investment and currency woes are likely to hurt the company’s profits.

The company has been witnessing sluggish net sales for the Specialty Foods segment since the past two quarters, despite solid growth in the Snacks business, due to an increasingly competitive bidding environment for the already low-margin USDA stew business.

Nonetheless, with a motive to expand its distribution network and customer base, and persistent focus on innovation and strategic acquisitions backed by a strong portfolio of brands, Pinnacle Foods remains confident of boosting its growth over the long haul. The stock has a long-term earnings growth rate of 7.7% and a beta of 0.29, which makes it attractive.

A leading manufacturer, marketer and distributor of branded food products, Pinnacle Foods actively manages a diverse portfolio of iconic food brands and regularly innovates in order to further differentiate its brands in the marketplace. Moreover, Pinnacle Foods has an operational excellence program to generate annual productivity savings across the supply chain. These productivity savings, along with higher pricing, have been mitigating the impact of input cost inflation to drive gross margin.

Stocks to Consider

Some better-ranked stocks in the broader consumer staples sector include Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ - Free Report) , Lancaster Colony Corporation (LANC - Free Report) and Sysco Corporation (SYY - Free Report) . All of them carry a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 (Strong Buy) Rank stocks here.

Mondelez International has an expected earnings growth rate of 13%. Further, it has delivered positive earnings surprises in three out of the trailing four quarters, leading to an average earnings surprise of 11.2%.

Meanwhile, Lancaster Colony and Sysco have an expected earnings growth rate of 3% and 8.8%, respectively.

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