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Is Ares Management (ARES) a Great Stock for Value Investors?

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Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?

One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Ares Management L.P. (ARES - Free Report) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:

PE Ratio

A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.

On this front, Ares Management has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 13.20, as you can see in the chart below:



This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 compares stands at 19.99. If we focus on the stock’s long-term PE trend, the current level puts Ares Management’s current PE ratio below its midpoint over the past two years.



Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the Zacks classified Finance-Investment Management industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 14.98. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.



We should also point out that Ares Management has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of just 10.7, so it is fair to say that a slightly more value-oriented path may be ahead for ARES stock in the near term too.

P/CF Ratio

An often overlooked ratio that can still be a great indicator of value is the price/cash flow metric. This ratio doesn’t take amortization and depreciation into account, so can give a more accurate picture of the financial health in a business.This is a preferred metric to some valuation investors because cash flows are (a) generally less prone to manipulation by the company’s management and (b) are less affected by variation in accounting policies between different companies.

The ratio is generally applied to find out whether a company’s stock is overpriced or underpriced with reference to its cash flows generation potential compared with its competitors. However, it is not commonly used for cross-industry comparison, as the average price to cash flow ratio varies from industry to industry.

In this case, Ares Management’s P/CF ratio of 10.86 is lower than the Zacks classified Finance-Investment Management industry average of 16.72, which indicates that the stock is undervalued in this respect.



Broad Value Outlook

In aggregate, Ares Management currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of ‘B’, putting it into the top 40% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes ARES a good choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.

For example, the PEG ratio for Ares Management is just 0.75, a level that is lower than the industry average of 1.43. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Additionally, its P/S ratio (another great indicator of value) comes in at 1.96, which is far better than the industry average of 3.28. Clearly, ARES is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.

What About the Stock Overall?

Though Ares Management might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of ‘D’ and a Momentum score of ‘D’. This gives ARES a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of ‘C’. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)

Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been discouraging. The current quarter and year has seen one upward estimate revisions in the past sixty days compared to three downward.

As a result, the current quarter consensus estimate has decreased by 2.6% in the past two months and for 2017 has gone down by 1.1%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:

Ares Management L.P. Price and Consensus

This negative trend is why the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) despite strong value metrics and why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Bottom Line

Ares Management is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its good lineup of statistics on this front. Moreover, a good industry rank (Top 38% out of more than 250 industries) further supports the growth potential of the stock.

Notably, the stock has a long term expected earnings growth of 14.3% and sports a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). These mixed expectations indicate that while the stock’s growth story might be good over the long term, analysts have some apprehensions about the stock in the immediate future. So, value investors might want to wait for analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.

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