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Is Carnival Corporation (CCL) a Great Stock for Value Investors?

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Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?

One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Carnival Corporation (CCL - Free Report) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:

PE Ratio

A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.

On this front, Carnival Corporation has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 19.8, as you can see in the chart below:

This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 compares in at about 20.1. If we focus on the stock’s long-term PE trend, the current level puts Carnival Corporation’s current PE ratio slightly above its midpoint (which is 19.7) over the past five years.

Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 22.5. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.

We should also point out that Carnival Corporation has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of just 18.5, so it is fair to say that a slightly more value-oriented path may be ahead for Carnival Corporation’s stock in the near term too.  

P/S Ratio

Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.

Right now, Carnival Corporation has a P/S ratio of about 3.0. This is slightly lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.2 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is marginally below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.

If anything, Carnival Corporation is towards the higher end of its range in the time period from a P/S metric, which suggests that the company’s stock price has already appreciated to some degree, relative to its sales.

Broad Value Outlook

In aggregate, Carnival Corporation currently has a Value Style Score of A, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes CCL a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.

For example, the PEG ratio for Carnival Corporation is just 1.4, a level that is slightly lower than the industry average of 1.5. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Additionally, its P/CF ratio (another great indicator of value) comes in at 6.44, which is considerably better than the industry average of 7.9. Clearly, CCL is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.

What About the Stock Overall?

Though Carnival Corporation might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of B and a Momentum score of B. This gives CCL a VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of A. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)

Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been encouraging. The full-year 2017 has seen six estimates go higher in the past sixty days and one lower, while the full-year 2018 estimate has seen a similar trend in the same time period.

This has had a noticeable impact on the consensus estimate, as the full-year 2017 consensus estimate has inched up 0.5% in the past two months, while the full-year 2018 estimate has inched up 0.7%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:

Carnival Corporation Price and Consensus

 

Carnival Corporation Price and Consensus | Carnival Corporation Quote

This somewhat favorable trend is why the stock has just a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and why we are looking for better performance from the company in the near term.

Bottom Line

Carnival Corporation is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. Its strong Zacks Rank also indicates robust growth potential in the near future. However, the company’s prospects might be constrained due to adverse broader factors, as it has a sluggish industry rank (bottom 32% out of more than 250 industries). In fact, over the past two years, the sector has clearly underperformed the broader market, as you can see below:

So, value investors might want to wait for the broader factors to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.

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