Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX - Free Report) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, Barrick Gold has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 20.4, as you can see in the chart below:
This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 20.7. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, Barrick Gold’s current PE level puts it above its midpoint over the past five years.
Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 27.9. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that Barrick Gold has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of just 21.7, so it is fair to say that the stock price might appreciate in future.
Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.
Right now, Barrick Gold has a P/S ratio of about 2.2. This is a bit lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.2x right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years, suggesting some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, Barrick Gold currently has a Value Score of B, putting it into the top 40% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Barrick Gold a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.
For example, the PEG ratio for Barrick Gold is just 10.9, a level that is far lower than the industry average of 12.8. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Clearly, ABX is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though Barrick Gold might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth Score of D and a Momentum Score of F. This gives ABX a Zacks VGM score — or its overarching fundamental grade — of D. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)
Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been favorable. The current year estimate has seen two upward and four downward revisions in the same time period.
This has had a significant impact on the consensus estimate as the current year estimate has inched up by 1.3%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
Barrick Gold Corporation Price and Consensus
Despite this favorable trend, the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and that is why we are looking for better performance from the company in the near term.
Barrick Gold is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. However, with a sluggish industry rank (Bottom 20% out of more than 250 industries) and a Zacks Rank #3, it is hard to get too excited about this company overall. In fact, over the past three years, the industry has clearly underperformed the broader market, as you can see below:
So, value investors might want to wait for the broader factors to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.
Wall Street’s Next Amazon
Zacks EVP Kevin Matras believes this familiar stock has only just begun its climb to become one of the greatest investments of all time. It’s a once-in-a-generation opportunity to invest in pure genius.
Click for details >>