The U.S. trade deficit, which has been the major reason for the ongoing tariff and trade war concerns, dropped for the second consecutive month in April. The deficit narrowed 2.1% to $46.2 billion from a revised $47.2 billion in March, marking the lowest level since September.
However, the trade deficit is still up 11.5% so far this year from the year-ago level, and is on track to widen in 2018 to the highest level in a decade.
Inside the Strong Numbers
The drop came on the heels of a 0.3% increase in exports to a record $211.2 billion, buoyed by higher shipments of industrial materials, soybeans and corn. Meanwhile, imports dipped 0.2% to $257.4 billion. Though trade deficit with Mexico narrowed 29.8% to $5.7 billion in April as exports to the country hit an all-time high, it widened with China by 8.1% to $28 billion. The United States had a $0.8 billion trade gap with Canada.
In the first four months of 2018, exports to Mexico, Canada and the European Union have recorded double-digit growth, indicating that United States is expanding strongly in these markets. As a result, the data has bolstered the confidence in the robust economic growth given that the recent decline in deficit is expected to boost GDP in the second quarter.
The rise in exports and shrinking trade gap will definitely benefit exporters, leading to a surge in mega-cap stocks.
Tariffs: A Threat?
Trump is going fierce with its anti-trade policies that could endanger the growth in exports seen so far in the year. He slapped tariffs on steel and aluminum imports from Canada, Mexico and the European Union last week after their temporary exemptions expired on Jun 1.
The move also led to retaliation from these countries targeting American products worth billions of dollars. The European Union is seeking to hit back with $7.5 billion of levies on U.S. exports, including motorcycles, denim, cigarettes, cranberry juice and peanut butter, as early as Jun 20. Mexico plans to retaliate by targeting a wide range of U.S. farm and industrial products and has said it would slap tariffs on imports from the United States, including whiskey, orange juice, steel, aluminum and other products.
A trade war is also brewing with China as Washington and Beijing have threatened tit-for-tat tariffs on goods worth up to $150 billion each in order to reduce the United States' $375.2 billion trade deficit with China. Talks to avert a full trade war between the world’s two largest economies have so far failed to produce a fruitful deal though China has offered up to purchase nearly $70 billion worth of U.S. agriculture and energy products if the Trump administration steps back from tariffs.
Why Mega Caps?
Mega-cap stocks (with a market cap of $100 billion or more) belong to the largest and most recognizable brands in the world. They tend to be the most stable in an adverse economic scenario while at the same time offer capital appreciation in a booming market. Mega-cap stocks have a global footprint, strong cash positions and enjoy leading market positions with most of them offering huge dividends.
These stocks are less volatile compared to small caps and thus are well protected in a market downturn. However, they might not experience exponential growth as small caps do in a rising stock market.
Given this, we have highlighted top-ranked mega-cap stocks that pose solid fundamentals and have the potential to move higher in the coming days. All these have a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and a VGM Score of A.
The Boeing Company (BA - Free Report)
This world's largest Zacks Rank #2 aerospace company is the leading manufacturer of commercial jetliners and defense, space and security systems. The stock has seen positive earnings estimate revision of 13 cents for this year over the past 30 days with an expected growth rate of 21.84%. It has a market cap of $209.8 billion and a VGM Score of B.
China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (SNP - Free Report)
This Zacks Rank #1 joint-stock company is focused on its core business of petroleum and petrochemicals with integrated upstream, mid-stream and downstream operations and a complete marketing network. The stock has seen solid earnings estimate revision of 38 cents for this year over the past 30 days, with an expected growth rate of 62.84%. It has a market cap of $116.2 billion and a VGM Score of B. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
Toyota Motor Corporation (TM - Free Report)
This Zacks Rank #2 company produces, sells, leases and repairs passenger cars, trucks, buses, boats, airplanes and other products in Japan and most foreign countries. Its earnings estimate revision has gone up by $1.25 for the fiscal year (ending March 2019) but expects earnings to decline 3.13%. Toyota Motor flaunts a top VGM Score of A and a market cap of $196.1 billion.
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated (UNH - Free Report)
This is Zacks Rank #2 diversified health care company in the United States. Though the stock saw no earnings estimate revision for this year over the past 30 days, it has an expected growth rate of 25.22%. It has a market cap of $234.9 billion and a VGM Score of A.
Honeywell International Inc. (HON - Free Report)
This Zacks Rank #2 software-industrial company delivers industry-specific solutions that include aerospace and automotive products and services; control technologies for buildings, homes, and industry; and performance materials globally. It also witnessed no earnings estimate revision for this year over the past 30 days and has an expected earnings growth rate of 12.80%. The stock has a market cap of $11.9 billion and a VGM Score of B.
Will You Make a Fortune on the Shift to Electric Cars?
Here's another stock idea to consider. Much like petroleum 150 years ago, lithium power may soon shake the world, creating millionaires and reshaping geo-politics. Soon electric vehicles (EVs) may be cheaper than gas guzzlers. Some are already reaching 265 miles on a single charge. With battery prices plummeting and charging stations set to multiply, one company stands out as the #1 stock to buy according to Zacks research. It's not the one you think.
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