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Positive Surprises Tracking Above Historical Levels

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There are two aspects  to every quarterly reporting cycle that inform our judgement as to how positive or otherwise the overall picture emerging from the earnings season actually is. First, the growth rates (earnings and revenues), positive surprises and how these (growth rates/surprises) compare to historical periods. Second, how analysts are changing their estimates after seeing the earnings releases and management commentary.

On both counts, we are off to a very positive start to the Q2 earnings season.

Including all of this morning’s releases, we now have Q2 results from 69 S&P 500 members. Total earnings for these 69 companies are up +22.4% from the same period last year on +9.8% higher revenues, with 87% beating EPS estimates and 76.8% beating revenue estimates. The proportion of these 69 companies beating both EPS and revenue estimates is 69.6%.

The comparison charts below put these results in a historical context.

Results from banks are heavily represented in the sample of Q2 reported results this week. The market has been less than impressed with bank earnings, though the JPMorgan (JPM - Free Report) , Bank of America (BAC - Free Report) and Morgan Stanly (MS - Free Report) reports showed plenty positives.

For more details about the Q1 earnings season and the overall earnings picture, please check our weekly Earnings Trends report  >>>> Positive Start to Q2 Earnings Season

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