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Can Methanex (MEOH) Run Higher on Rising Earnings Estimates?

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Investors might want to bet on Methanex (MEOH - Free Report) , as earnings estimates for this company have been showing solid improvement lately. The stock has already gained solid short-term price momentum, and this trend might continue with its still improving earnings outlook.

Analysts' growing optimism on the earnings prospects of this methanol supplier is driving estimates higher, which should get reflected in its stock price. After all, empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. This insight is at the core of our stock rating tool -- the Zacks Rank.

The five-grade Zacks Rank system, which ranges from a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) to a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive externally-audited track record of outperformance, with Zacks #1 Ranked stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 2008.

For Methanex, strong agreement among the covering analysts in revising earnings estimates upward has resulted in meaningful improvement in consensus estimates for the next quarter and full year.

The chart below shows the evolution of forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimate:

12 Month EPS

Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions

The company is expected to earn $2.02 per share for the current quarter, which represents a year-over-year change of +236.67%.

Over the last 30 days, one estimate has moved higher for Methanex compared to no negative revisions. As a result, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased 84.11%.

Current-Year Estimate Revisions

For the full year, the company is expected to earn $7.75 per share, representing a year-over-year change of +64.54%.

In terms of estimate revisions, the trend for the current year also appears quite encouraging for Methanex. Over the past month, one estimate has moved higher compared to no negative revisions, helping the consensus estimate increase 13.98%.

Favorable Zacks Rank

Thanks to promising estimate revisions, Methanex currently carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). The Zacks Rank is a tried-and-tested rating tool that helps investors effectively harness the power of earnings estimate revisions and make the right investment decision. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Our research shows that stocks with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) significantly outperform the S&P 500.

Bottom Line

While strong estimate revisions for Methanex have attracted decent investments and pushed the stock 9.8% higher over the past four weeks, further upside may still be left in the stock. So, you may consider adding it to your portfolio right away.




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