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UDR Q3 FFO Meets Estimates, Revenues Grow Y/Y, View Up

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UDR Inc.’s (UDR - Free Report) third-quarter 2018 funds from operations (FFO) as adjusted per share of 49 cents came in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. The figure came in higher than the prior-year tally of 47 cents.

Total revenues in the reported quarter climbed 6.0% year over year to $266.1 million. Further, the top line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $258.6 million. This upside primarily stemmed from growth in revenues from operating and lease-up communities. The company has also raised its guidance for 2018.

Inside the Headlines

During the quarter under review, same-store revenues increased 3.8% year over year. However, same-store expenses flared up 3.5%. Consequently, same-store net operating income (NOI) improved 3.9% year over year. This residential REIT’s weighted average same-store physical occupancy expanded 30 basis point (bps) to 96.9%. The third-quarter annualized-rate of turnover advanced 40 bps from the prior-year period to 63.4%.

During the quarter, UDR signed a contract to sell Circle Towers, a 46-year old, 604-home community in Fairfax County, VA, for $160.0 million. The transaction is slated to close during the current quarter.

At the end of the third quarter, UDR’s development pipeline aggregated $808.5 million at its pro-rata ownership interest, out of which, 98% has already been funded.

As of Sep 30, 2018, the company had around $710.1 million available from a combination of cash and undrawn capacity on its credit facilities. Furthermore, its total debt was $3.8 billion as of the same date.

Portfolio Activity

At the end of the reported quarter, the company’s Developer Capital Program investment, including accrued return, totaled $222.7 million.

Guidance

For fourth-quarter 2018, UDR projects FFO as adjusted per share to be in the 49-50 cents range. The Zacks Consensus Estimate of 49 cents lies at the lower end of this guidance.

The company also updated its estimates for full-year 2018. The FFO as adjusted per share lies in the band of $1.95-$1.96 compared with the previous projection of $1.93-$1.96. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the same is $1.94. Moreover, the company anticipates same-store NOI to increase in the range of 3.25-3.5% for the year compared with the previous estimate of 3.0-3.5%.

Our Viewpoint

UDR is likely to benefit from its vast experience in the residential real estate market. The company’s portfolio, located in the targeted U.S. markets, has a superior product mix. Specifically, favorable demographics, household formation, recovering economy and job-market growth are expected to drive demand for UDR's properties. The company also adheres to disciplined capital allocation.

However, UDR has been plagued with escalating deliveries in a number of its markets. This remains a concern as elevated levels of supply curtail landlords’ ability to demand higher rents and also increase concessional activities. Rate hike adds to its woes.

Currently, UDR has a Zacks Rank #2 (Hold). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

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We now look forward to the earnings releases of other REITs like Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA - Free Report) , Federal Realty Investment Trust (FRT - Free Report) and Realty Income Corp. (O - Free Report) , which are slated to report their quarterly numbers on Oct 31.

Note: Anything related to earnings presented in this write-up represent funds from operations (FFO) — a widely used metric to gauge the performance of REITs.

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