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Coca-Cola & McDonald's Looked Strong, Is Starbucks (SBUX) Next?

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Shares of Coca-Cola (KO - Free Report) climbed Tuesday after the firm posted better-than-projected third-quarter financial results. Coca-Cola’s strong performance followed fellow giant McDonald's (MCD - Free Report) impressive Q3 earnings results last week. Now, with its shares up over 11% in the last three months, let’s see what’s in the cards for Starbucks’ (SBUX - Free Report) Q4 results Thursday.

Coca-Cola & McDonald's Overview

McDonald's saw its adjusted quarterly earnings jump 19% to reach $2.10 per share, which surpassed our Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.98 per share. Investors were likely pleased to see McDonald's global comparable sales pop 4.2%. U.S. comps rose 2.4% in Q3. 

The fast-food giant also lifted its quarterly dividend by 15% to $1.16 per share, which will take effect starting in the fourth quarter. “In addition to achieving 13 consecutive quarters of positive global comparable sales, we have made substantial progress modernising restaurants around the world, enhancing hospitality and elevating the experience for the millions of customers we serve every day,” McDonald's CEO Steve Easterbrook said in a company statement.

Moving on, Coca-Cola’s adjusted third-quarter earnings jumped 14% to $0.58 per share. This topped our $0.55 per share estimate. Plus, the company’s global soda volume grew by 2% from the same quarter a year ago, driven by demand for Diet Coke and Coke Zero Sugar. Meanwhile, organic revenue, which excluded acquisitions, divestitures, and currency fluctuations, increased 6% from a year ago.

Shares of KO climbed 2.5% during regular trading Tuesday following its pre-market earnings release to inch close to its 52-week high.

Starbucks Overview

As we touched on at the top, SBUX stock has surged over 11% in the past three months as investors start to see some positive signs for the future of the once massive growth company that has moved sideways for much of the last three years. Starbucks’ days of impressive year-over-year growth are likely over, so the firm has turned to new initiatives to drive forward.

Starbucks has commitment to eco-friendly stores, which seems like a solid long-term play that likely fits well with its consumer base. Investors should also note that the coffee chain is committed to Chinese expansion. This includes a partnership with Chinese e-commerce giant and Amazon (AMZN - Free Report) rival Alibaba (BABA - Free Report) to help boost its sales and standing in the world’s second-largest economy.

Starbucks has said it plans to add 600 new stores per year in Mainland China through 2022 to double its locations to 6,000 total stores in 230 cities. The company has also focused on its digital and mobile payment offerings and opened new Starbucks roastery locations.

More Fundamentals

Shares of SBUX are have soared over 790% in the last 10 years. With that said, Starbucks stock is up only 44% in the past five years and down roughly 6% over the last three years.

 

We can also see that Starbucks stock is currently trading near its five-year low in terms of forward P/E. SBUX is currently trading at 22X forward 12-month Zacks Consensus EPS estimates. Starbucks rival Dunkin' is currently trading at 24X.

The coffee power’s stock has also traded as high as 36.2X over the last five years a with a five-year median of 25.5X Therefore, investors should be able to say that Starbucks stock is hardly expensive at the moment.

 

Q4 Outlook

Starbucks has already reported top-line growth in the first, second, and third quarter of fiscal 2018. Our current Zacks Consensus Estimate is calling for the firm’s Q4 revenues to climb by 8.8% to hit $6.20 billion.

At the other end of the income statement, SBUX is projected to see its adjusted quarterly earnings pop by 7.3% to reach $0.59 per share. Meanwhile, its full-year EPS figure is expected to expand by 16.5% to reach $2.40 per share.

Bottom Line

Starbucks is currently a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and sports a “B” grade for Value in our Style Scores system. With that said, the company’s earnings revision activity has been mixed recently and the company has only topped quarterly earnings estimates twice in the last 10 quarters. Starbucks’ earnings have come in right at our estimates in the other eight periods.

Starbucks is scheduled to release its fourth quarter and fiscal 2018 financial results after the market closes on Thursday, November 1.

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