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Progressive (PGR) Gains But Lags Market: What You Should Know

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Progressive (PGR - Free Report) closed at $66.33 in the latest trading session, marking a +0.05% move from the prior day. The stock lagged the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.22%. At the same time, the Dow added 0.49%, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 0.15%.

Coming into today, shares of the insurer had lost 7.66% in the past month. In that same time, the Finance sector gained 1.21%, while the S&P 500 lost 0.57%.

PGR will be looking to display strength as it nears its next earnings release, which is expected to be January 23, 2019. In that report, analysts expect PGR to post earnings of $1.02 per share. This would mark year-over-year growth of 29.11%. Meanwhile, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projecting net sales of $8.49 billion, up 19.1% from the year-ago period.

Looking at the full year, our Zacks Consensus Estimates suggest analysts are expecting earnings of $4.78 per share and revenue of $32.03 billion. These totals would mark changes of +81.75% and +19.54%, respectively, from last year.

It is also important to note the recent changes to analyst estimates for PGR. These revisions help to show the ever-changing nature of near-term business trends. As such, positive estimate revisions reflect analyst optimism about the company's business and profitability.

Research indicates that these estimate revisions are directly correlated with near-term share price momentum. Investors can capitalize on this by using the Zacks Rank. This model considers these estimate changes and provides a simple, actionable rating system.

The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from #1 (Strong Buy) to #5 (Strong Sell), has an impressive outside-audited track record of outperformance, with #1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988. Within the past 30 days, our consensus EPS projection has moved 1.91% higher. PGR is holding a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) right now.

Looking at its valuation, PGR is holding a Forward P/E ratio of 13.88. This valuation marks a discount compared to its industry's average Forward P/E of 14.33.

We can also see that PGR currently has a PEG ratio of 1.89. The PEG ratio is similar to the widely-used P/E ratio, but this metric also takes the company's expected earnings growth rate into account. PGR's industry had an average PEG ratio of 1.3 as of yesterday's close.

The Insurance - Property and Casualty industry is part of the Finance sector. This industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 191, which puts it in the bottom 26% of all 250+ industries.

The Zacks Industry Rank gauges the strength of our industry groups by measuring the average Zacks Rank of the individual stocks within the groups. Our research shows that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.

Be sure to follow all of these stock-moving metrics, and many more, on Zacks.com.


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