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Why Is CACI International (CACI) Down 2.7% Since Last Earnings Report?

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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for CACI International (CACI - Free Report) . Shares have lost about 2.7% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent negative trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is CACI International due for a breakout? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important catalysts.

CACI International Reports Solid Q1 Results

CACI International reported solid first-quarter fiscal 2019 results with healthy year-over-year increase in both earnings and revenues. The company benefited from organic revenue growth, expanding margins, and record awards and contract funding.

Earnings for the reported quarter were $3.10 per share compared with $1.67 in the year-ago quarter. The bottom line surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.02.

Quarterly revenues were $1.17 billion compared with $1.09 billion in the year-ago quarter. The 7.4% revenue rise was primarily attributable to new business wins, acquired contracts and on-contract growth, which aided organic growth. The reported revenues outpaced the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.15 billion.

 

Quarter Details

Contract awards in the reported quarter were worth $2.54 billion, up 111% year over year, of which approximately 60% came from new businesses. Contract funding orders were $1.7 billion, up 14.2%.

Total backlog as of Sep 30, 2018 was $13 billion, 17.5% higher than prior- year quarter. Funded backlog at September-end was $2.7 billion.

In terms of customer mix, the Department of Defense accounted for about 70.2% of total revenues in the reported quarter. Federal Civilian Agencies contributed about 25.1% while Commercial and other customers accounted for 4.7% of revenues.

Among the highlights of the fiscal first quarter was CACI International’s buyout of the Systems Engineering and Acquisition Support Services Business Unit of CSRA LLC. This acquisition expended the company’s relationship with the U.S. Navy.

During the quarter, awards bagged by CACI International included a five-year, $413 million award with the U.S. Army Communications-Electronics Research, Development, and Engineering Center; a four-year, $194 million task order by a federal civilian client and another five-year $162 million task order from U.S. Army, among others.

Margins

Operating income for the quarter came in at $99.6 million up 48% from the year-ago quarter. Improved program execution, product sales, benefits related to the adoption of ASC 606 and indirect cost control primarily drove the impressive growth in operating income. Tax reforms under ASU 2016-09 led to lower tax rate, which also benefited the operating income for the quarter.

Operating income margin expanded 230 basis points (bps) year over year to 8.5% in the quarter.

Adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal first quarter increased 3.3% from the year-ago quarter to $116.35 million.  Adjusted EBITDA margin of 10% increased 230 bps.

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow

At the quarter end, CACI International had cash and cash equivalents of $75.49 million compared with $66.19 million in the previous quarter.

Total long-term debt was $1.096 billion.

Cash flow from operations for the first fiscal quarter was $83.11 million compared with $79.69 million a year ago.

Guidance

CACI International reiterated its revenue guidance for fiscal 2019. Revenues are expected in the range of $4.7 billion to $4.9 billion.

Encouraged by a strong first fiscal quarter and lower effective tax rate, CACI International raised its net income and earnings guidance for fiscal 2019.

Net income is now expected in the range of $250-$260 million, up from the previously guided range of $230-$240 million.

Earnings per share is now expected to be between $9.77 and $10.16, up from the previously projected range of $9.14-$9.53.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

In the past month, investors have witnessed a downward trend in fresh estimates.

VGM Scores

At this time, CACI International has a nice Growth Score of B, however its Momentum Score is doing a bit better with an A. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of B on the value side, putting it in the top 40% for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of A. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. Notably, CACI International has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). We expect an above average return from the stock in the next few months.




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