Have you been paying attention to shares of Cincinnati Financial (CINF - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 11.5% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $96.77 in the previous session. Cincinnati Financial has gained 24.5% since the start of the year compared to the 10.8% move for the Zacks Finance sector and the 3% return for the Zacks Insurance - Property and Casualty industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on April 24, 2019, Cincinnati Financial reported EPS of $1.05 versus consensus estimate of $0.94.
Cincinnati Financial may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Cincinnati Financial has a Value Score of D. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 27.2X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 25.6X versus its peer group's average of 14.3X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Cincinnati Financial currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Cincinnati Financial passes the test. Thus, it seems as though Cincinnati Financial shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.
How Does Cincinnati Financial Stack Up to the Competition?
Shares of Cincinnati Financial have been rising, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also looking good, including Argo Group International Holdings (ARGO - Free Report) , The Progressive (PGR - Free Report) , and American Financial Group (AFG - Free Report) , all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.
The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 21% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Cincinnati Financial, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.