Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Matador Resources Company (MTDR - Free Report) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, Matador Resources has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 11.6, as you can see in the chart below:
This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 17.79. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, Matador Resources’ current PE level puts it below its midpoint of 24.77 over the past five years. Moreover, the current level stands well below the highs for the stock, suggesting that it can be a solid entry point.
Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the Zacks Oils-Energy sector’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 13.04. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that Matador Resources has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of just 14.59, so it is fair to say that a slightly more value-oriented path may be ahead for m stock in the Matador Resource’ near term too.
While earnings are certainly important, it is essential to know how much you are paying for the growth of earnings as well. One can easily do that with the PEG ratio (ratio of the P/E to the expected future earnings growth rate).The PEG ratio gives a more complete picture of the valuation of a stock than the P/E ratio.
Matador Resources’ PEG ratio stands at just 0.57, compared with the Zacks Oil And Gas – Exploration and Production – United States industry average of 0.95. This suggests a decent undervalued trading relative to its earnings growth potential right now.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, Matador Resources currently has a Value Score of A, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Matador Resources a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though Matador Resources might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth Score of C and a Momentum Score of C. This gives MTDR a Zacks VGM score — or its overarching fundamental grade — of A. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)
Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been dismal at best. The current quarter has seen one estimates go higher in the past sixty days compared to two lower, while the full year estimate has seen one up and two down in the same time period.
This has had a negative impact on the consensus estimate though as the current quarter consensus estimate has dropped by 3.7% in the past two months, while the full year estimate has inched lower by 2.7%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
Matador Resources Company Price and Consensus
Apart from this somewhat soft trend, the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) which is why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.
Matador Resources is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. However, with a sluggish industry rank (bottom 36% out of more than 250 Zacks industries) and a Zacks Rank #3, it is hard to get too excited about this company overall. In fact, over the past two years, the Zacks Oil And Gas – Exploration and Production – United States industry has clearly underperformed the broader market, as you can see below:
So, value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.
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