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By a historic 230-to-197 vote in the Democratic-majority House, President Donald Trump was impeached on Dec 18. The votes mark only the third time in American history that the House has impeached a president.
The announcement followed reports that Trump may have abused his presidential powers and “sought help from a foreign government to undermine the former Vice President Joe Biden, the current Democratic frontrunner, and help his own reelection.”
Now, the President will face a trial in the Senate that will decide whether he will be able to hold his position or not. Chances of Trump leaving the office is very low as the Republican Senate majority leader, was reportedly preparing for defending the President even before the House vote happened.
Still, we highlight below some ETFs that can top or flop if Trump gets impeached.
Likely Winners
China
Trump’s impeachment hints at the complete end to the trade war with China. Though the phase-one trade deal was announced in December, many issues have still not been resolved. In a recent speech at the United Nations General Assembly, Trump urged nations to opt for nationalism and reject globalism. So, China ETFs like iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI - Free Report) may be in a good spot at the moment (read: 6 Trade-Proof Sector ETFs to Follow if No Deal is Cracked).
Low-Volatility ETFs
Low-volatility ETFs like Franklin Liberty U.S. Low Volatility ETF (FLLV - Free Report) , SPDR SSGA US Large Cap Low Volatility Index ETF (LGLV - Free Report) and Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF (SPLV - Free Report) should also prosper as Trump’s impeachment talks may keep the broader market edgy.
Gold
Gold is often viewed as a safe-haven asset offering protection against financial risks and may perform well on heightened market volatility. Worries related to Trump’s impeachment will likely make the market edgy. Gold bullion ETF SPDR Gold Shares (GLD - Free Report) should thus benefit in the near-term.
Likely Losers
Defense
Trump is a proponent of boosting the defense budget. Though any major fiscal tightening is unlikely despite a divided government, defense-oriented stocks may lose if Trump’s impeachment talks continue. So, defense and aerospace ETFs like iShares US Aerospace & Defense (ITA - Free Report) may come under pressure.
Infrastructure
Trump is in favor of beefing up public spending by hundreds of billions of dollars on infrastructure. Thus, construction ETFs like Invesco Dynamic Building & Construction Portfolio ETF (PKB - Free Report) and infrastructure ETFs like iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF IFRA may feel some threat.
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ETFs to Gain/Lose on Trump's Impeachment
By a historic 230-to-197 vote in the Democratic-majority House, President Donald Trump was impeached on Dec 18. The votes mark only the third time in American history that the House has impeached a president.
The announcement followed reports that Trump may have abused his presidential powers and “sought help from a foreign government to undermine the former Vice President Joe Biden, the current Democratic frontrunner, and help his own reelection.”
Now, the President will face a trial in the Senate that will decide whether he will be able to hold his position or not. Chances of Trump leaving the office is very low as the Republican Senate majority leader, was reportedly preparing for defending the President even before the House vote happened.
Still, we highlight below some ETFs that can top or flop if Trump gets impeached.
Likely Winners
China
Trump’s impeachment hints at the complete end to the trade war with China. Though the phase-one trade deal was announced in December, many issues have still not been resolved. In a recent speech at the United Nations General Assembly, Trump urged nations to opt for nationalism and reject globalism. So, China ETFs like iShares China Large-Cap ETF (FXI - Free Report) may be in a good spot at the moment (read: 6 Trade-Proof Sector ETFs to Follow if No Deal is Cracked).
Low-Volatility ETFs
Low-volatility ETFs like Franklin Liberty U.S. Low Volatility ETF (FLLV - Free Report) , SPDR SSGA US Large Cap Low Volatility Index ETF (LGLV - Free Report) and Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF (SPLV - Free Report) should also prosper as Trump’s impeachment talks may keep the broader market edgy.
Gold
Gold is often viewed as a safe-haven asset offering protection against financial risks and may perform well on heightened market volatility. Worries related to Trump’s impeachment will likely make the market edgy. Gold bullion ETF SPDR Gold Shares (GLD - Free Report) should thus benefit in the near-term.
Likely Losers
Defense
Trump is a proponent of boosting the defense budget. Though any major fiscal tightening is unlikely despite a divided government, defense-oriented stocks may lose if Trump’s impeachment talks continue. So, defense and aerospace ETFs like iShares US Aerospace & Defense (ITA - Free Report) may come under pressure.
Infrastructure
Trump is in favor of beefing up public spending by hundreds of billions of dollars on infrastructure. Thus, construction ETFs like Invesco Dynamic Building & Construction Portfolio ETF (PKB - Free Report) and infrastructure ETFs like iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF IFRA may feel some threat.
Want key ETF info delivered straight to your inbox?
Zacks’ free Fund Newsletter will brief you on top news and analysis, as well as top-performing ETFs, each week. Get it free >>