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Here's Why Investors Should Ignore Regal Beloit (RBC) Stock

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Regal Beloit Corporation RBC seems to have lost its sheen due to global uncertainties, industrial slowdown in the United States and other prevailing headwinds. Also, weak price performance and lowered earnings estimates indicate bearish sentiments for the stock.
The company, with market capitalization of $3.5 billion, carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) at present. It belongs to the Zacks Manufacturing – Electronics industry, currently at the bottom 31% (with the rank of 176) of more than 250 Zacks industries.

Notably, Regal Beloit’s earnings surpassed estimates by 1.5% in the third quarter of 2019. However, its bottom line declined 13.5% year over year on weak sales performance and a fall in margins. Revenues in the quarter lagged estimates by 6.4%.

In the past six months, the company’s shares have gained 9.3% compared with the industry’s growth of 20.9%.

Factors Affecting Investment Appeal

Top-Line & Bottom-Line Weakness: In third-quarter 2019, Regal Beloit’s earnings surpassed estimates by 1.5%, while sales lagged the same by 6.4%. On a year-over-year basis, earnings declined 13.5% on weak sales performance (down 16.5% from the year-ago quarter’s figure) and a fall in margins.

For 2019, the company believes that industrial slowdown in the United States, a slowdown in Asia, excess channel inventories and uncertainties in global trade will affect its performance.

Adjusted earnings per share are predicted in the range of $5.45-$5.55 per share, down from $5.50-$5.80 stated previously. Organic sales will likely decline in mid-single digits versus a low to mid-single-digit fall mentioned earlier.
Forex Woes: Presence in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Europe and Asia has exposed Regal Beloit to geopolitical issues, macroeconomic challenges and unfavorable movements in foreign currencies. In the third quarter of 2019, forex woes affected the company’s sales by 0.7%.

Persistence of such issues might pose concerns for the company.

Debt Headwinds: A highly-leveraged balance sheet is a headwind, as high debts increase financial obligations. Exiting third-quarter 2019, Regal Beloit’s long-term debts were $1,200.3 million. Interest expenses in the quarter were $13.5 million. For 2019, interest expenses (net) are predicted to be $49 million.

Bottom-Line Estimate Trend: The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Regal Beloit’s earnings has been revised in the past 60 days. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share is currently pegged at $1.24 for the fourth quarter of 2019 and $5.72 for 2020, which indicates decline of 0.8% and 1% from the 60-day-ago figures, respectively.

Regal Beloit Corporation Price and Consensus


Regal Beloit Corporation Price and Consensus

Regal Beloit Corporation price-consensus-chart | Regal Beloit Corporation Quote

Nevertheless, earnings estimates of $5.53 for 2019 reflect growth of 0.7% from the 60-day ago figure. However, on a year-over-year basis, the same estimate reflects 7.8% decline.

Stocks to Consider
Some better-ranked stocks in the Zacks Industrial Products sector are Hickok Inc CRAWA, Cintas Corporation (CTAS - Free Report) and DXP Enterprises, Inc DXPE. While Hickok and DXP Enterprises currently sport a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), Cintas carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

In the past 60 days, earnings estimates for these stocks have improved for the current year. Further, positive earnings surprise for the last reported quarter was 15.56% for Hickok, 11.27% for Cintas and 16.39% for DXP Enterprises.

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