Jun 01, 2024

General Motors Company (NYSE: GM)

$44.99 USD ( As of 05/31/24 )

Zacks Rank 3-Hold

3
Style: Value:
Growth:
Momentum:
VGM:

Data Overview

52 Week High-Low $46.04 - $26.65
20 Day Average Volume 9,899,832
Beta 1.49
Market Cap 51.33 B
Dividend / Div Yld $0.48 / 1.07%
Industry Automotive - Domestic
Industry Rank 43 / 250 (Top 17%)
Current Ratio 1.16
Debt/Capital 55.10%
Net Margin 6.13%
Price/Book (P/B) 0.73
Price/Cash Flow (P/CF) 2.31
Earnings Yield 20.89%
Debt/Equity 1.22
Value Score
P/E (F1) 4.79
P/E (F1) Rel to Industry -7.40
PEG Ratio 0.52
P/S (F1) 0.29
P/S (TTM) 0.28
P/CFO 2.31
P/CFO Rel to Industry NA
EV/EBITDA Annual 4.93
Growth Score
Proj. EPS Growth (F1/F0) 22.35%
Hist. EPS Growth (Q0/Q-1) 16.68%
Qtr CFO Growth -42.31
2 Yr CFO Growth 352.16
Return on Equity (ROE) 14.40%
(NI - CFO) / Total Assets -5.23
Asset Turnover 0.63
Momentum Score
1 week Volume change -10.09%
1 week Price Cng Rel to Industry -0.73%
(F1) EPS Est 1 week change 0.00%
(F1) EPS Est 4 week change -0.46%
(F1) EPS Est 12 week change 4.39%
(Q1) EPS Est 1 week change 0.00%

Summary

Zacks Consensus Estimate for General Motors’ quarterly earnings has been going down of late. It is set to gain from its strong crossover and truck segment. The company aims to focus more on the development of electric vehicles and plans to roll out 20 electric or hydrogen fuel cell vehicles by 2023. It is also emphasizing to strengthen its brands, increasing retail sales and maintaining operating discipline. General Motor believes that by 2030 half of its global sales growth will be from emerging markets, encouraging it to make large investments and launch new products in those regions. Moreover, in the last six months, its shares have outperformed in the industry it belongs to. However, frequent vehicle recalls, high inventory level of passenger cars and currency fluctuations are few concerns the company has been facing.

Elements of the Zacks Rank

Agreement Estimate Revisions (60 days)

100%

Q1 (Current Qtr)

Revisions: 5

Up: 5 Down: 0

50%

Q2 (Next Qtr)

Revisions: 4

Up: 2 Down: 2

100%

F1 (Current Year)

Revisions: 8

Up: 8 Down: 0

83%

F2 (Next Year)

Revisions: 6

Up: 5 Down: 1

Magnitude Consensus Estimate Trend (60 days)

60
Days
30
Days
7
Days
Current
Q1 +17.19%
60
Days
30
Days
7
Days
Current
Q2 -2.01%
60
Days
30
Days
7
Days
Current
F1 +4.44%
60
Days
30
Days
7
Days
Current
F2 +4.16%

Upside Zacks Consensus Estimate vs. Most Accurate Estimate

Most Accurate: 2.19
Zacks Consensus: 2.59
Q1 -15.55%

Most Accurate: 2.37
Zacks Consensus: 2.44
Q2 -2.71%

Most Accurate: 9.05
Zacks Consensus: 9.40
F1 -3.69%

Most Accurate: 9.21
Zacks Consensus: 9.51
F2 -3.16%

Surprise Reported Earnings History

Reported: 2.62
Estimate: 2.08
Q End 03/24
Reported: 1.24
Estimate: 1.12
Q End 12/23
Reported: 2.28
Estimate: 1.84
Q End 09/23
Reported: 1.91
Estimate: 1.73
Q End 06/23

Average 4 Qtr Surprise

 

The data on the front page and all the charts in the report represent market data as of 05/31/24, while the report's text is as of 10/06/2017

Overview

Detroit, MI-based General Motors Company (GM), originally incorporated in 1908, is a leading global automotive company. The company filed voluntary petitions for relief under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code on Jun 1, 2009. Pursuant to this, the New GM was formed by acquiring most of the assets and assuming certain liabilities of the Old GM, and some of its direct and indirect subsidiaries.

GM received $52 billion in U.S. Treasury loans by selling 61% ownership stake of the company and C$1.5 billion ($1.5 billion) in Export Development Canada loans during the bankruptcy protection. In Dec 2013, the U.S. Department of Treasury completed the divestment of its entire stake in General Motors.

Nearly 73.4 million shares of GM, which were held by Canada GEN Investment Corporation, were sold to Goldman, Sachs & Co under an unregistered block trade in Apr 2015. With this, Canada GEN sold its entire stake in General Motors.

GM, along with its strategic partners, produces, sells and services cars, trucks and parts under four core brands – Chevrolet, Buick, GMC and Cadillac. GM assembles passenger cars, crossover vehicles, light trucks, sport utility vehicles (SUVs), vans and other vehicles.

GM has five operating segments, namely, General Motors North America (“GMNA”) (71.5% of total revenues in 2016), General Motors International Operations (“GMIO”) (7.1%), General Motors Europe (“GME”) (11.2%), GM South America (“GMSA”) (4.3%) and GM Financial (5.7%).

Reasons To Buy:

General Motors’ capital allocation strategy, investments in plants in the United States and emerging markets, product launches and focus on technology development are expected to benefit the company.

General Motors outperformed the industry it belongs to over the last six months. Share price of the company gained 30.1% over this period, while the industry rose 16.6%.

In 2017, General Motors is focused on strengthening its brands, increasing retail sales and maintaining operating discipline. The company will gain from a strong economy and increase in product offerings by the four brands of the company. General Motors also expects 2017 adjusted earnings per share in the range of $6.00 to $6.50, the mid-point of which is higher than the 2016 figure of $6.12. The automaker also expects revenues, adjusted EBIT and adjusted EBIT margin to remain stable or improve from 2016. The automaker is also expected to generate around $8.2 billion of adjusted automotive free cash flow, up from the 2016 figure of around $7 billion. The upbeat outlook is based on robust retail crossover sales.

General Motors is currently in Phase III of its Captive Expansion plan, which commenced in 2010. In this phase, the company aims to increase its share of prime loan channel and grow its floorplan business in North America. It also intends to expand its geographical footprint and product portfolio in the rest of the world. Finally, the company aims to increase loyalty among users by expanding its customer relation management activities. The adjusted EBT is expected to double from the 2014 level by 2018 on the achievement of the complete captive penetration levels.

General Motors follows a comprehensive capital allocation strategy per which it intends to return its available free cash flow to shareholders while maintaining an investment-grade balance sheet and cash and cash equivalents of $16.6 billion as of Jun 30, 2017 to boost long-term growth. As part of this strategy, General Motors announced an initial share repurchase of $5 billion, which was completed in third-quarter 2016. In the second-quarter 2017, General Motors repurchased $1.5 billion of common shares. For 2017, the company to return up to $7 billion to shareholders in the form of dividend and share buyback.

General Motors believes that the continuous enforcement of its strategic plan will help it to achieve adjusted earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margin of 9–10% by early next decade. To achieve this target, the company needs to drive sustained growth in its core business in addition to focusing on several other initiatives. The automaker strives to excel in its products and technology, expand the Chevrolet and Cadillac brands globally, grow its presence in China and boost the results of the GM Financial segment. Further, General Motors will focus on ensuring cost efficiency and expects to reduce costs by over $5.5 billion by curtailing purchasing, manufacturing and administration expenses from 2015 through 2018. This will offset the investments made toward the launch of new products, brand building, engineering and technology upgrades. Additionally, General Motors will maintain its focus on improving capital efficiency to reduce capital expenditure over the long term. It expects capital expenditure to be 5%–5.5% of revenue in the future.

General Motors is increasing capacity investment in emerging markets to enhance its global sales. The company expects half of the global sales growth by 2030 to come from emerging markets. The company is trying to gain from growth in emerging countries via product launches and the new Wuling plant. In January 2017, General Motors announced plans to launch 18 new and refreshed vehicles in China in 2017 and 60 models through 2020.

General Motors is focused on investment in innovative technologies and vehicles which should provide sustained growth while maximizing shareholder value. In September 2016, it signed a deal with Canada’s Unifor Union to invest about $420.84 million in its Canadian facilities. General Motors will invest $303.86 million and $113.95 million, respectively, in the Oshawa and St. Catherines manufacturing plants in Ontario. Post this, the Oshawa plant will be the company’s first North American facility to manufacture both trucks and cars, while the St. Catherines engine and transmission plant will be able to accommodate an engine production shift from Mexico. An investment in the parts distribution center at Woodstock is also expected.

General Motors is undertaking several initiatives to make its vehicles more advanced, safer and fuel efficient. The automaker is presently focusing on autonomous vehicle development. The acquisition of Cruise Automation will help General Motors to use Cruise’s deep software talent to develop autonomous vehicle technology. In April 2017, the company announced the launch of the Super cruise. This is the industry's first true hands-free highway driving technology and will be available from late 2017 or 2018. General Motors will also focus on alternate transportation models, which are expected to generate additional revenues and profits. In Jan 2016, it launched a new car-sharing service called Maven to seize the opportunities in ride- and car-sharing services. In just 11 months, the automaker has launched three products under this service and expanded it to 17 states in the U.S and Canada. Maven is also collaborating with Uber to allow people to lease qualified vehicles at discounted rates with no mileage limits. In October 2016, General Motors invested in China’s Yi Wei Xing (Beijing) Technology Co. Ltd., a leading car-sharing technology solution provider to explore personal mobility opportunities in the country.

General Motors established its Cadillac brand as a separate business unit with global headquarters in New York. This will help the company capitalize on opportunities in the luxury automotive market and expand the brand’s presence outside North America. The initiative to launch a range of new Cadillac products is likely to help the company achieve global growth. It is expected that Cadillac will introduce nine models in China over the next five years. The brand aims to increase its global annual sales to over 500,000 cars by 2020. The company's hands-free 2018 Cadillac CT6 is expected to debut later in 2017. General Motors' expense towards the development of autonomous vehicles is expected to be roughly $150 million per quartern in 2017 and 2018 for research and development.

In March 2017, General Motors signed an agreement with French automaker, PSA Group, for the sale of its Opel/Vauxhall subsidiary and GM Financial’s European operations. The transaction, valued at €2.2 billion (around $2.3 billion), is expected to close in end 2017, subject to regulatory approval and customary closing conditions. General Motors’ Opel/Vauxhall business has remained unprofitable over the last few years. With the sale of its European businesses, the company intends to focus on its core automotive business and development of new technologies. The company will retain its engineering centre in Torino, Italy. Through the sale, the company is working toward its transformation goals. Further, the company announced other restructuring activities internationally. The company will stop selling vehicles in India. However, it will continue its manufacturing operations in the region. The company will also sell its South African operations to Isuzu Motors. General Motors will also streamline its regional headquarters office in Singapore. The steps are expected to help save roughly $100 million a year in a sector of General Motors' global business that lost about $800 million in 2016.

In October 2017, General Motors announced its plans to stop manufacturing gasoline and diesel in future and focus more on the development of electric vehicles. In line with the plan, it expects to roll out two new electric vehicles (EVs) in the next 18 months. In addition to that, General Motors will be adding 20 electric or hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in the market by 2023. It also has plans to build electric fast-charging stations in the United States to charge electric vehicles.
 

Reasons To Sell:

General Motors is under pressure due to lower U.S. vehicles sales in 2016, weak used car pricing, a challenging pricing environment in the United States and China, pressure on commodity costs and a high inventory level of passenger cars.

General Motors has been forced to scale down or shut its manufacturing operations in some regions due to production constraints such as high costs and unfavorable currency translation effects. General Motors has decided to stop vehicle and engine production, and cut down engineering operations in Australia by 2017 end due to the strength of the Australian dollar against the American dollar, high production costs, limited domestic market and stiff competition. The automaker plans to transition to a national sales company in Australia and New Zealand. This will result in the layoff of 2,900 employees. Due to this, cash payments for employee severance are expected to result in increased expenses through 2017. Moreover, the company will be liable to pay €3 billion to PSA Group, related to the transfer of pension plans of the German Actives Plan and selected other smaller plans on the sale of its Opel/Vauxhall business.

Low oil prices and currency controls in Venezuela have led to a deficiency of the dollar in the South American nation. As a result, the market remains quite challenging for General Motors.

Lately, General Motors has been recalling vehicles in large numbers. In 2016, faulty Takata airbag inflators resulted in massive recalls by the company. In May 2016, General recalled 1.9 million vehicles for this problem, which was expanded by an additional 600,000 vehicles in June 2016. The company will incur a cost of $320 million for replacing the inflators in these 2.5 million vehicles. Again in July 2016, General Motors announced that it may be forced to recall another 4.3 million vehicles by U.S. regulators due to these flawed inflators. Replacing the inflators in these vehicles will lead to an additional cost of $550 million. General Motors has been permitted by U.S. auto safety regulators to delay the recall of a large number of trucks related to the Takata airbag explosion issue, to Aug 31, 2017 to carry out long-term tests on the vehicles and attest to their safety. Unfavorable results of the tests can lead to the recall of 6.8 million vehicles, which would cost about $870 million.

General Motors’ main joint venture in China, Shanghai GM, is being charged with a fine of 201 million yuan or $29 million for monopolistic pricing behavior. Shanghai GM – a 50-50 joint venture between General Motors and state-owned Shanghai Automotive Industries Corp. – enforced minimum dealer sales price for Cadillac SRX, Chevrolet Trax and Buick Excelle models in order to counter competition. Chinese regulators consider this improper. Thus, they charged a penalty equivalent to 4% of Shanghai GM’s annual sales.

In 2017, General Motors expects weak used car pricing, a challenging pricing environment in the United States and China as well as more pressure on commodity costs.

The company has been experiencing a high inventory level of passenger cars. It is working toward bringing the inventory down by cutting production. The initiatives to reduce inventory are expected to ensure that inventory levels in 2017 remain at the 2016 level.

 

Last Earnings Report

Quarter Ending 03/2024

Report Date Apr 23, 2024
Sales Surprise 4.18%
EPS Surprise 25.96%
Quarterly EPS 2.62
Annual EPS (TTM) 8.05

General Motors Beats on Q2 Earnings, Revenues Miss

General Motors delivered adjusted earnings of $1.89 per share in second-quarter 2017, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.72. Earnings increased 5.6% from $1.79 per share in the second quarter of 2016.

Revenues in the reported quarter came in at $37 billion, 1.1% lower than the year-ago quarter. Also, revenues missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $40.25 billion.

Total wholesale unit sales declined to 1.21 million vehicles from 1.31 million vehicles in the second quarter of 2016. Worldwide retail unit sales decreased to 2.34 million vehicles from 2.39 million vehicles in the year-ago quarter. The automaker’s global market share was 10.2% during the reported quarter, reflecting a marginal decline from 10.3% in the year-ago quarter.

Segment Results

GM North America (GMNA) generated net sales and revenues of $28.4 billion during the second quarter of 2017, reflecting a decline from $30.2 billion in second-quarter 2016.

GM International Operations’ (GMIO) net sales and revenues came in at $3.2 billion, declining from $3.3 billion in the year-ago quarter.

GM South America (GMSA) generated net sales and revenues of $2.3 billion, increasing from $1.6 billion in the year-ago quarter.

GM Financial generated net sales and revenues of $3 billion during the quarter, increasing from $2.1 billion in the year-ago quarter.

Financial Position

General Motors had cash and cash equivalents of $16.6 billion as of Jun 30, 2017 compared with $12.57 billion as of Dec 31, 2016.

Automotive operating cash flow during the quarter came in at $5.1 billion, reflecting an increase of $0.3 billion from that of second-quarter 2016.

2017 Outlook

General Motors continues to expect 2017 adjusted earnings per share in the range of $6.00–$6.50. The automaker also expects adjusted EBIT and adjusted EBIT margin to remain stable or improve, while revenues are projected to increase from the 2016 level. Further, the automaker is expected to generate around $7 billion in adjusted automotive free cash flow. The company aims at returning capital of up to $7 billion to shareholders in 2017.

Recent News

General Motors to Combine Asian, Latam Operations – Oct 3, 2017

General Motors announced that it will merge operations outside Chinese and North American market. The company aims to scale down its presence in money-losing markets in order to focus more of the development of electric cars.

The International regions whose leadership will be combined include Southeast Asia, India and Oceania, with its South America, in effect from Jan 1, 2018.

General Motors to Give Thrust to Electric Vehicles – Oct 2, 2017

General Motors has plans to roll out two new electric vehicles (EVs) in the next 18 months. Also, it intends to add more than 20 electric or hydrogen fuel cell vehicles in its lineup by 2023. With this, the number one U.S. automaker joins several European and Japanese peers, who have vowed to speed up development of EVs.

Additionally, the automaker plans to increase the number of electric fast-charging stations in the United States in order to take on its EV competitors like Tesla.

General Motors September U.S. Sales Rise – Oct 2, 2017

General Motors reported September 2017 deliveries of 279,397 vehicles in the United States, marking a 12% surge year over year. The company’s retail deliveries also rose 8% in the month, indicating an increase in retail market share. Commercial fleet deliveries in the United States rose 25%, and total fleet deliveries were grew 24% year over year in the month.

General Motors Completes Sale of Opel/Vauxhall to Groupe PSA – Jul 31, 2017

General Motors and Groupe PSA declared completing the sale of General Motors’ Opel/Vauxhall business to the Groupe PSA. This move is a part of the series of actions adopted by the automaker to bolster its global enterprise and to boost its finances.

General Motors, Uber Tie Up to Expand Maven Gig in Sydney – Jul 17, 2017

General Motors has entered into a partnership with Uber Technologies Inc to expand its car-sharing operation Maven, in Australia, through a pilot program, per Reuters. The agreement will enable Uber drivers to rent cars produced by General Motors’ Australian manufacturer GM Holden.

Per the news, General Motors is trying to adopt Maven Gig in Sydney through a pilot program. The Maven Gig program of General Motors is an attempt toward helping drivers rent cars on demand for independent activities. This includes package delivery, food or grocery delivery, ridesharing etc.

Presently, the Maven Gig program is operational in San Diego and slated to be launched in San Francisco and Los Angeles later this year.

Industry Analysis(1)Zacks Industry Rank: NA

Top Peers

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Industry Comparison Automotive - Domestic | Position in Industry: 5 of 16

Industry Peers

  GM
Market Cap 51.33 B
# of Analysts 6
Dividend Yield 1.07%
Value Score
Cash/Price 0.51
EV/EBITDA 4.93
PEG Ratio 0.52
Price/Book (P/B) 0.73
Price/Cash Flow (P/CF) 2.31
P/E (F1) 4.79
Price/Sales (P/S) 0.29
Earnings Yield 20.89%
Debt/Equity 1.22
Cash Flow ($/share) 19.50
Growth Score
Hist. EPS Growth (3-5 yrs) 16.68%
Proj. EPS Growth (F1/F0) 22.35%
Curr. Cash Flow Growth -3.63%
Hist. Cash Flow Growth (3-5 yrs) -0.61%
Current Ratio 1.16
Debt/Capital 55.10%
Net Margin 6.13%
Return on Equity 14.40%
Sales/Assets 0.63
Proj. Sales Growth (F1/F0) 1.68%
Momentum Score
Daily Price Chg 1.81%
1 Week Price Chg -0.73%
4 Week Price Chg 0.72%
12 Week Price Chg 14.33%
52 Week Price Chg 36.25%
20 Day Average Volume 9,899,832
(F1) EPS Est Wkly Chg 0.00%
(F1) EPS Est Mthly Chg -0.46%
(F1) EPS Est Qtrly Chg 4.39%
(Q1) EPS Est Mthly Chg 0.84%
X Industry S&P 500
62.51 M 34.55 B
3.5 18
0.00% 1.57%
- -
0.45 0.04
-0.04 14.67
1.39 2.16
1.35 3.37
8.41 13.80
13.01 18.25
1.39 2.72
1.39% 5.45%
0.04 0.62
-0.57 8.64
- -
19.60% 9.87%
14.71% 7.54%
1.28% 3.44%
4.55% 6.81%
1.63 1.22
35.27% 39.29%
-80.13% 11.99%
-45.22% 16.63%
0.43 0.54
1.68% 4.00%
- -
0.00% 0.80%
-0.98% 0.18%
-0.23% 4.21%
-9.91% 2.33%
-41.94% 25.03%
549,056 1,889,825
0.00% 0.00%
0.00% 0.00%
0.43% 0.31%
0.00% -0.07%
F TSLA PCAR
48.43 B 567.93 B 56.35 B
5 11 8
4.95% 0.00% 1.12%
A F B
0.71 0.05 0.14
9.63 36.76 7.49
0.80 3.34 1.66
1.13 8.72 3.34
3.46 41.28 9.42
6.16 72.15 13.01
0.27 5.99 1.59
16.24% 1.39% 7.68%
2.32 0.04 0.54
3.51 4.31 11.41
C F B
26.48% 141.36% 22.51%
-1.96% -20.89% -14.05%
3.86% -15.73% 57.06%
1.50% 66.19% 12.94%
1.17 1.72 2.73
69.90% 4.37% 35.08%
2.21% 14.37% 14.30%
17.63% 13.18% 31.71%
0.66 0.95 0.91
2.74% 2.30% -1.22%
A F B
1.82% 1.48% 0.48%
-2.81% 2.91% -2.87%
-2.88% -1.07% 0.98%
-2.26% -0.32% -5.97%
0.17% -14.19% 53.54%
39,322,204 70,949,680 2,212,342
0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
1.61% -5.10% 0.32%
4.40% -24.07% 2.04%
5.12% -4.51% -0.67%

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Value Score
Growth Score
Momentum Score
VGM Score

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