Transport Stock Earnings Slated for Apr 19: WERN, GATX, MRTN

JPM CSX DAL UAL MRTN GATX WERN

The Q1 earnings season is off to a solid start with big names like JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM - Free Report) and Citigroup reporting better-than-expected results. Per the latest Earnings Preview , the impressive performance is likely to continue. On a year-over-year basis, both the top and bottom line (for S&P 500 companies) are projected to improve 16.6% and 7.5%, respectively, in this reporting cycle.

The report further predicts that 14 of the 16 Zacks sectors will end the Q1 earnings season with a year-over-year increase in the bottom line. Of which, 11 are anticipated to exhibit double-digit earnings growth.     

One of those sectors is the transportation sector, wherein earnings are anticipated to increase 15.4%. Notably, this highly diversified sector includes airlines, railroads, truckers, equipment and leasing companies, among others. We believe that the favorable economic indicators along with the new tax law bodes well for the sector participants.

Already, key sector participants from the transportation sector namely, United Continental Holdings, Inc. (UAL - Free Report) , CSX Corporation (CSX - Free Report) and Delta Air Lines Inc. (DAL - Free Report) , posted better-than-expected earnings per share and revenues in the current reporting cycle.

However, rise in fuel costs does not augur well for transportation stocks. This is because expenses pertaining to fuel represent one of the major input costs for any transportation company. Of late, oil prices have been on an uptrend and were up approximately 8% in the Q1 (January-March period).

Given this backdrop, investors interested in the transportation space will keenly await Q1 reports from key players like Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN - Free Report) , GATX Corporation (GATX - Free Report) and Marten Transport, Ltd. (MRTN - Free Report) on Apr 19.

According to our quantitative model, a company needs the right combination of two key ingredients — a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better — to increase the odds of an earnings surprise. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Werner Enterprises is one of the country’s leading carriers and logistics operators, headquartered in Omaha, NE. Although the company carries a Zacks Rank #3, it is unlikely to report better-than-expected earnings in the quarter. This is because it has an Earnings ESP of -1.64% (the Most Accurate estimate of 36 cents per share comes in a penny lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

 

The next company is GATX Corporation, based in Chicago, IL. It leases, operates and manages widely used assets in rail, marine and industrial equipment markets. GATX has a Zacks Rank #3 and an Earnings ESP of 0.00% as both the Most Accurate estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate are pegged at $1.17. The unfavorable combination of GATX’s Zacks Rank #3 and a 0.00% ESP makes an earnings beat unlikely in Q1.

 

Lastly, Marten Transport, Ltd., based in Mondovi, WI, is a long-haul truckload carrier. The company has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and an Earnings ESP of +1.78%. This favorable combination at Marten Transport makes us reasonably confident of an earnings beat.

 

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