What's in Store for The Meet Group (MEET) in Q1 Earnings?

A FUJIY INTU

The Meet Group is set to report first-quarter 2019 results on May 8.

The company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters, the average positive surprise being 48.6%.

In the last reported quarter, Mobile Monthly Active Users (MAU) increased to 15.2 million from 14.6 million in third-quarter 2018. Moreover, on average, daily active users of video grew 46,000 sequentially to 916,000.

For first-quarter 2019, revenues are expected between $47.5 million and $48 million. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues currently stands at $47.7 million, indicating growth of 26.7% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.

Meanwhile, the consensus mark for first-quarter earnings has remained steady at 9 cents over the past 30 days, suggesting growth of 80% from the year-ago quarter’s reported figure.

Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Key Factors to Consider

The Meet Group’s first-quarter 2019 results are expected to benefit from rapid adoption of Live Video, which, per management, is the fastest growing component of user pay revenues. Notably, user pay revenues comprised 60% of total revenues, while the rest came from advertising in 2018.

Moreover, the company’s live-streaming apps (MeetMe, LOVOO, Tagged and Skout) are being rapidly adopted by millennials, which is a positive. Additionally, the completion of GROWLr acquisition in March 2019 is expected to boost same-sex Daily Active User (DAU) base.

The battle and level features of the company have been proved useful in driving user engagement. These are expected to continue expanding video DAU (vDAU) that is likely to aid video Average Revenue Per DAU (vARPDAU) in the soon-to-be-reported quarter.

However, margins are expected to remain under pressure due to growing investments and unfavorable revenue mix. Notably, user pay is a lower margin business compared with advertising.

What Our Model Says

According to the Zacks model, a company with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) along with a positive Earnings ESP has a good chance of beating estimates. Meanwhile, Sell-rated stocks (Zacks Rank #4 or 5) are best avoided.

The Meet Group has a Zacks Rank #2 but an Earnings ESP of 0.00%. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Stocks That Warrant a Look

Here are three stocks you may want to consider, as our model suggests that these have the right combination of elements to deliver an earnings beat this earnings season.

FUJIFILM (FUJIY - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +20.55% and a Zacks Rank #1. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Agilent Technologies (A - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +2.10% and a Zacks Rank #2.

Intuit (INTU - Free Report) has an Earnings ESP of +0.59% and a Zacks Rank #2.

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