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Synchrony (SYF) Up 9.6% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Synchrony (SYF - Free Report) . Shares have added about 9.6% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Synchrony due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at the most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.

Synchrony Financial Q2 Earnings Beat on Purchase Volume

Synchrony Financial reported second-quarter 2022 adjusted earnings per share of $1.60, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.43. The bottom line, however, fell from the year-ago level of $2.12 per share.

SYF’s net interest income increased 14.8% year over year to $3,802 million for the quarter under review, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3,680 million.

SYF reported better-than-expected second-quarter results on the back of solid growth in average active accounts and a higher purchase volume. It also gained from solid contributions from all sales platforms. The results benefitted from increased interest and fees on loans. Yet, the results were partially offset by steep expenses.

Q2 Results in Detail

Other income of $198 million surged 122.5% year over year, owing to the $120 million gain on sale from HFS portfolios’ conveyance.

For the second quarter, total loan receivables increased 5.5% year over year to $82.7 billion. Total deposits amounted to $64.7 billion, up 8.1% year over year. Provision for credit losses significantly jumped to $724 million on the back of lower reserve release, partially offset by reduced net charge-offs.

Its total, purchase volume for the second quarter jumped 12.1% year over year to $47,217 million. Interest and fees on loans increased 13.2% year over year to $4,039 million, thanks to growth in average loan receivables. Net interest margin was 15.6%, marking a 182-basis point rise.

New accounts fell 6% year over year to 6 million. Average active accounts increased 4.3% year over year to 68.7 million.

Total other expenses of $1,083 million increased 14.2% year over year for the quarter under consideration due to rising employee costs, information processing, marketing spending and other expenses. Efficiency ratio reached 37.7% in the quarter, marking a 190-basis point decrease.

Individual Sales Platforms Update

Home & Auto period-end loan receivables grew 9.4% year over year for the second quarter to $27,989 million. Purchase volume improved 11.9% year over year to $12,895 million, owing to consistent sound performances. Interest and fees on loans were up 11.6% year over year to $1,108 million.

Digital loan receivables rose 13.6% year over year to $21,842 million due to strong purchase volumes. Purchase volume climbed 14% year over year to $12,463 million on the back of robust engagement across various programs. Also, continued momentum in newly launched programs aided volumes. Interest and fees on loans increased 18.7% year over year to $1,058 million.

Diversified & Value period-end loan receivables increased 12% year over year to $16,076 million on the back of continued strength in purchase volume. Purchase volume improved 23.8% year over year for the quarter under review to $14,388 million due to higher client engagement and retailer performance. Interest and fees on loans increased 13.3% year over year to $826 million.

Health & Wellness period-end loan receivables grew 14.9% year over year to $10,932 million and purchase volume advanced 15.2% to $3,443 million, highlighting broad-based growth across active accounts and increased spending in its dental, cosmetic and pet categories. Interest and fees on loans increased 23.1% year over year to $644 million.

Lifestyle period-end loan receivables improved 7.8% year over year for the second quarter to $5,558 million. Purchase volume inched up 1.9% year over year to $1,431 million due to growth in Music, luxury and Specialty. Interest and fees on loans advanced 6.6% year over year to $194 million.

Financial Position (as of Jun 30, 2022)

SYF exited second-quarter 2022 with total assets of $95.2 billion, growing 3.5% year over year. Total borrowings of $12.2 billion dropped 9.7% year over year for the quarter under review.

As of Jun 30, 2022, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $10.7 billion, which fell 3.9% year over year.

SYF’s balance sheet was consistently strong during the reported quarter, with total liquidity of $18.9 billion, accounting for 19.8% of its total assets.

Return on assets and equity were 3.4% and 24%, respectively, for the second quarter.

Capital Deployment

During the second quarter, Synchrony Financial returned capital worth $809 million in the form of share buybacks of $701 million and common stock dividends of $108 million. The company currently has remaining share buyback authorization of $2.4 billion.

2022 View

Synchrony Financial expects more than 10% loan receivables growth for 2022 due to underlying trends of payment rates and high purchase volume strength. It expects a net interest margin of around 15.50%. Net charge-offs are expected to remain around 3.5%. It witnessed strong credit performance in the first half. SYF expects operating expenses of $1,050 million per quarter for the year.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

It turns out, fresh estimates have trended upward during the past month.

VGM Scores

At this time, Synchrony has a subpar Growth Score of D, however its Momentum Score is doing a lot better with a B. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of A on the value side, putting it in the top quintile for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of B. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. Notably, Synchrony has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). We expect an in-line return from the stock in the next few months.


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