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Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction)

Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) looks to find companies that have recently seen positive earnings estimate revision activity. The idea is that more recent information is, generally speaking, more accurate and can be a better predictor of the future, which can give investors an advantage in earnings season.

The technique has proven to be very useful for finding positive surprises. In fact, when combining a Zacks Rank #3 or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time, while they also saw 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

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See the Full List of Stocks To Beat Earnings

Trending Stocks to Beat Earnings

Symbol Company
Name
ESP Most Accurate
Estimate
Consensus
Estimate
Price Zacks Rank %Surprise
(Last Qtr.)
Reporting Date
MU Micron Tech... 23.29% -0.21 -0.27 93.78 2 4.04% 03/20/24
LULU lululemon a... 0.45% 5.03 5.01 459.57 3 11.45% 03/21/24
GIS General Mil... 1.30% 1.05 1.04 67.74 3 8.70% 03/20/24
FDS FactSet Res... 0.59% 3.85 3.83 477.66 2 0.49% 03/21/24
HQY HealthEquit... 7.18% 0.60 0.56 82.96 3 22.45% 03/19/24

Earnings ESP Filter2/16

Use the Zacks Earnings Expected Surprise Prediction (ESP) Filter to search for stocks to buy beforehand that have the highest probability of positively surprising for profitable earnings season trading. You can also use it to find those stocks to sell before they report that are likely to negatively surprise.

Go to the Top Stocks to Beat Earnings

Using Earnings ESP Filter3/16

You can quickly see ESP Buys or ESP Sells and filter by certain criteria that you select.

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Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers for

 

Company Symbol Price %Chg
QuantaSing... QSG 3.40 +12.96%
Interface TILE 16.21 +7.07%
The Gap GPS 24.69 +4.66%
HCA Healthc... HCA 327.17 +1.62%
American Ea... AEO 23.53 +1.60%

Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers7/16

The Zacks #1 Rank List is the best place to start your stock search each morning. It's made up of the top 5% of stocks with the most potential. Each weekday, you can quickly see the Zacks #1 Rank Top Movers from Value to Growth, Momentum and Income, even VGM Score.

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Full Zacks #1 Rank List8/16

You can see the full Zacks #1 Rank List or narrow it down to Zacks #1 Rank Stocks with a Value, Growth, Momentum or Income Style Score of A or B. Plus, you can see the Zacks #1 Rank Stocks with a VGM of A or B. You can also sort the list with criteria you choose, view Additions and Deletions by day, and Performance.

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Focus List Top Performers

 

Symbol Price Added Current Price %Chg
NVDA 39.13 884.55 +2,144.74%
LRCX 100.49 925.28 +805.65%
MSFT 55.09 417.32 +655.89%
LULU 73.64 459.57 +531.37%
SQ 17.25 80.86 +364.75%

Focus List Top Performers9/16

Our Focus List is a portfolio of 50 long-term stocks selected by Zacks' Director of Research Sheraz Mian based on their earnings momentum. The Zacks Premium homepage displays the Top Performers. You can also quickly access the latest Weekly Market Analysis article, including timely insights and market direction.

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Zacks Equity Research15/16

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