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Goodyear (GT) Up 1% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?

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A month has gone by since the last earnings report for Goodyear (GT - Free Report) . Shares have added about 1% in that time frame, underperforming the S&P 500.

Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Goodyear due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.

Goodyear Snaps Earnings Beat Streak in Q3

Goodyear reported third-quarter 2022 adjusted earnings per share of 40 cents, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 61 cents. Lower-than-anticipated revenues and operating income in the Americas and EMEA segments, and lesser-than-expected sales in the Asia Pacific segment weighed on the results. The bottom line decreased 44.4% from the year-ago figure of 72 cents.

The company generated net revenues of $5,311 million, rising 7.6% on a year-over-year basis, riding on pricing actions. The top line, nonetheless, fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5,573 millionIn the reported quarter, tire volume was 46.7 million units, down 3% from the year-ago period. Replacement tire shipments declined 9%, reflecting a recovery in the number of imports into mature markets after supply chain disruptions affected the supply of those tires a year ago.  Original equipment unit volume increased 25.6% year over year on the back of share gains from recent fitment wins and recovery in industry volumes.

Segmental Performance

In the reported quarter, the Americas segment generated revenues of $3,304 million, around 11.4% higher than the prior-year period’s figure but missed the consensus metric of $3,370 million. The segment registered an operating income of $306 million, which increased 18.1%. Improvements in price/mix aided the upswing in operating margins. But the figure missed the consensus mark of $311 million.

Revenues in the Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) segment were $1,358 million, shrinking 2.8% from the year-ago period and missing the consensus mark of $1,541 million. The segment’s operating profit came in at $30 million in the quarter, contracting 63% on raw material cost increases and lower volumes. The figure also trailed the consensus mark of $65 million.

Revenues in the Asia Pacific segment increased 13.9% year over year to $649 million but lagged the consensus mark of $662 million. The segment’s operating profit income was $37 million, up 15.6% from the year-ago figure, owing to the benefits of price mix. The figure also crossed the consensus metric of $22.84 million.

Financial Position

Selling, general & administrative expenses fell to $696 million from $727 million in the year-ago period.

Goodyear had cash and cash equivalents of $1,243 million as of Sep 30, 2022, up from $1,088 million on Dec 31, 2021. As of the third quarter of 2022, long-term debt and finance leases amounted to $7,839 million, up from $6,648 million on Dec 31, 2021. Capital expenditure in the quarter was $254 million, down from $281 million in the year-ago quarter.

Outlook

For the fourth quarter of 2022, the company anticipates continued volume growth in the Asia Pacific segment and volume softness in the EMEA unit. Raw material costs are expected to be up about $500 million in the fourth quarter. The company now expects to increase working capital within $300-$500 million, up from $300 million earlier. Capital expenditure is now expected to be in the range of $1-$1.1 billion, lower than $1.1-$1.2 billion estimated earlier.

How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?

It turns out, estimates review have trended downward during the past month.

The consensus estimate has shifted -67.96% due to these changes.

VGM Scores

At this time, Goodyear has a poor Growth Score of F, a grade with the same score on the momentum front. However, the stock was allocated a grade of B on the value side, putting it in the top 40% for this investment strategy.

Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of F. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.

Outlook

Estimates have been broadly trending downward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions indicates a downward shift. It's no surprise Goodyear has a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell). We expect a below average return from the stock in the next few months.


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