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After weeks of tumbling markets as the “Wall of Worry” grew taller amid the war on Iran, especially with the closing-off of the Strait of Hormuz immediately affecting gasoline prices here at home, pre-market futures have blossomed on new hopefulness for the region.
President Trump said early this morning that he is in “intense talks” with Iranian officials, which has so far gone “very good.” Apparently, he has called off strikes on the oil-rich nation, and has gone so far as to say that Iran has “changed its regime.” The Dow shot up +1200 points on this sentiment, and the small-cap Russell 2000 shot up more than +4%.
The impact on oil prices was again immediate, falling roughly -5% to roughly $98 per barrel (/bbl) on WTI and $105/bbl on Brent. Oil drillers like Occidental PetroleumOXY gained, as have fuel-consuming travel companies like Delta AirlinesDAL and Carnival CruisesCCL, up +3% and +4%, respectively. Fold-in pent-up demand after weeks of selling off, and it’s easy to understand taking a spark of good news and attempting to ignite the markets with it.
Reuters reports this morning, however, that no such talks have taken place between Iranian officials and President Trump. Pre-market indexes reversed course, subtracting more than half their gains to around +500 on the Dow, but have been inching back up in the minutes since then. Again, the positive sentiment seems to have the upper hand in early trading, but literally anything can happen from here.
What to Expect from the Market This Week
After today’s open, we’ll get a delayed Construction Spending report from January. Expectations are that activity in this space has cooled somewhat to +0.1% from +0.3%. However, with this peek so far into the rear view, it’s tough to see how this news would influence markets on a day like this.
Tuesday, we’ll see U.S. Productivity numbers for Q4 of last year, again with coolness in the forecast: +1.8% versus +2.8%. S&P flash Services and Manufacturing PMI are also out tomorrow, both measures expecting to keep somewhat above the 50 threshold between growth and loss.
Imports/Exports will be reported mid-week for February, Weekly Jobless Claims will again come out Thursday morning, and Consumer Sentiment arrives on Friday. It’s a relatively slow week for economic reports — and earnings, for that matter — but that changes next week when we get a new “Jobs Week.”
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Robust growth highlights Cirrus Logic's commitment to innovation and adaptability, striving for continued success and market expansion in the consumer electronics sector.
Qorvo is leveraging the industry’s most comprehensive product portfolio, advanced technologies, and system-level expertise to gain an unrivaled competitive advantage.
We are positive about Intuit’s growing SMB exposure and believe that its strategic acquisitions will boost the segment. Increased adoption of its cloud-based services and products is another positive.
Hershey’s established brand strength and category leadership provide meaningful pricing flexibility, enabling the company to protect revenue even in a cost-inflationary environment.
Central Garden & Pet advances digital, supply chain and product innovation while driving margin gains and M&A, backed by strong financials and a focused Cost and Simplicity program.
The operational constraints,along with China’s inventory build-up, can harm the near term. Recent escalations in the Middle East, combined with existing challenges in New Zealand and Egypt, pose threats.
Boston Beer is witnessing weak depletions, with continued challenges in the hard seltzer category for a while. Depletions and shipments are now expected to remain flat to down mid-single digits for 2026.
Tractor Supply has been reeling under rising selling, general, and administrative costs for a while now. SG&A, as a percentage of sales, rose 6% year over year in fourth-quarter 2025.
Tyson Foods leverages a diversified protein portfolio, strong chicken performance and global expansion to deliver resilient growth and long-term shareholder value.
Central Garden & Pet advances digital, supply chain and product innovation while driving margin gains and M&A, backed by strong financials and a focused Cost and Simplicity program.
AbbVie’s Skyrizi and Rinvoq, are performing extremely well, bolstered by approval in new indications, which should support top-line growth in the next few years.
Robust vehicle offerings, a growing software and services business, progress in China restructuring, and investor-friendly moves are expected to support General Motors’ growth.
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