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Sell in April!!!

Stocks lost -1.4% the last two sessions of April. So it appears that folks wanted a running head start on the annual "Sell in May" tradition.

For years I have talked about the fallacy and superstition in the "Sell in May" math. So I will not bore you with a chapter and verse recitation today. Simply stated, some summers are great for the stock market...some are not. Thus, best to evaluate prospects for each new summer on its unique merits.

In this case you have a 7 year bull market that hasn't made a new high since May 21, 2015. Why? Because earnings have contracted for three straight quarters and GDP is weakening all wrapped in a shell of a market above historical valuation norms.

The bull party can continue as long as growth returns. If not, then a sideways trading range is the best possible outcome...while the start of the next bear market is the worst.

Keep reading the growth tea leaves for the answer to this riddle and adjust your portfolio accordingly.

Best,

Steve Reitmeister

Executive Vice President, Zacks Investment Research

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