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Zacks Stock Market Morning Drive for 05/24/2012 Print This Page  
 
Economic Highlights
May 24: Jobless Claims, Durable Orders Disappoint
by Zacks on May 24, 2012

With this morning’s mixed economic data on the home front from the Jobless Claims and Durable Good reports, stocks likely will not have much to offset the uninspiring picture coming out of Friday. The overnight summit of European leaders in Brussels failed to come out with anything new. But even more worrying is the region’s economic outlook, including for the thus far robust German economy. A preliminary survey of Euro-zone purchasing managers for May, comparable to the ISM survey in the U.S., shows the region’s factory sector moving deeper into contractionary territory. A separate survey of German business confidence also shows loss of momentum.

The Brussels summit meeting reiterated the group’s desire to keep Greece within the currency union, but wants the country to stay true to its existing austerity commitments under the March bailout. With the anti-austerity leftwing party gaining momentum in the run up to the June 17 elections, it is increasingly becoming obvious that Greece may be heading towards the long-feared exit. On the positive side, the demand for Eurobonds is steadily gaining momentum following the change in French leadership, though Germany continues to oppose the move. 

There is not much to feel good about in this morning’s domestic economic data either, with the weekly Jobless Claims numbers effectively unchanged from the previous week and the April Durable Goods report raising questions about the outlook for corporate capital spending.

It is perhaps a bit harsh to characterize the Jobless Claims data as negative. But the number has been ‘stuck’ at the 370K level for weeks now and refusing come further down. This morning’s reading showed a 2K drop to 370K, though the prior week’s tally was revised upwards by 2K. So, in effect, we have another unchanged reading. The four-week average, which smoothes out the week-to-week volatility, dropped by 5.5K to 370K. An optimistic take could be that the current consolidation phase in the claims data is a net positive. It will be interesting to see what next week’s May non-farm payroll numbers will bring, particularly following the disappointing releases in preceding two months.
 
While one could argue that the Jobless Claims report was not negative, there is no other way to put this morning’s April Durable Goods report. The ‘headline’ number was roughly in-line with expectations and the prior month’s ‘headline’ drop was modestly revised upwards. But the ‘core’ reading, officially called nondefense capital goods orders ex-aircraft, came in weaker than expected and the prior month’s number was revised down. The weak ‘core’ number and the negative revisions to the prior month raise questions about the health of business spending outlook going forward and will likely be perceived as another sign of loss of momentum in the economy. This data does not seem to be in-sync with what we are seeing from the manufacturing ISM data in recent months. While not unusual, it is nevertheless a red flag not to take the manufacturing momentum for granted.

In corporate news, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) came out with better than expected results and a credible-looking restructuring program that includes lay-offs totaling roughly 8% of its workforce. But irrespective of the quality of the PC and printing giant’s restructuring plan, it is likely faced with a much softer IT spending environment than it may have been banking on. We saw some evidence of that in Tuesday’s results from Dell (DELL) and even Cisco (CSCO) had pointed towards that in its quarterly results. This morning’s soft April Durable Goods report is also along the same lines.

 

 

Economic News Archive

Market News Summary
Stock Market News for May 24, 2012
by Zacks Equity Research on May 24, 2012

Markets’ volatile run yesterday ended with benchmarks closing flat as positive signs from across the Atlantic erased almost all of the day’s losses during the final hour. The benchmarks may have closed mixed or just slightly higher from levels they started the day with, but this was a great rebound from the slump they suffered earlier during the day. Materials were a big catalyst and tech-bellwether Apple once again enabled Nasdaq to finish in the green.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) slipped a mere 0.1% or over 6 points to end at 12,496.15. The Standard & Poor 500 (S&P 500) gained 0.2% and moved a little over 2 points higher to finish yesterday’s trading session at 1,318.86. The tech-laden Nasdaq Composite Index was up 0.4% and closed at 2,850.12. The fear-gauge CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped 0.7% and settled at 22.33. Consolidated volumes on the New York Stock Exchange, American Stock Exchange and Nasdaq were roughly 7.52 billion shares, higher than the year-on-year average of 6.84 billion shares. Advancers edged past the decliners on the NYSE; as for three stocks that gained, two stocks traded lower.

Yesterday’s volatile run was quiet akin to Tuesday’s session, except that on Tuesday the benchmarks traded higher all day long only to lose almost all of these gains in the final hour. On Wednesday, it was the other way round. Benchmarks lingered in the red all day long, making a comeback only during the final hour. Moreover, late-hour concerns of Tuesday spilled on to Wednesday morning. Former Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos told Dow Jones Newswires that Greece was preparing to exit the euro. Greek concerns are nothing new for the benchmarks though, and it continued to affect the sentiments on Wednesday. Additionally, reports suggested that some European officials were of the view that euro zone members needed to step up a contingency plan if Greece were to leave the euro. Reportedly, this consensus was reached via a teleconference of the Eurogroup Working Group (EWG).

However, while Lucas Papademos told CNBC that he had no knowledge of any preparation by Greece for an euro exit, reports of a contingency plan were also rubbished by the Greek Finance Ministry. According to an email from the ministry:  "The Ministry of Finance categorically denies the reports stating that during the teleconference of the Euro Working Group on May 21st 2012, it was agreed that each euro zone country should prepare contingency plans for the potential consequences of a departure  of the Hellenic Republic from the single currency area… "Such reports not only are false, but actually hinder the efforts of the Hellenic Republic to address its challenges at this critical juncture".

With these concerns taking a backseat for the day and positive signs emerging, the Dow recouped a loss of 191 points. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq also recovered from their day’s lows of 1,296.53 and 2,795.50, respectively. Yesterday’s change of fortunes can be attributed to Italian and French leaders agreeing to boost economic growth via region-wide bonds. Reportedly, French President Francois Hollande and Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti met ahead of the informal summit at Brussels and discussed boosting the regions’ economy by launching euro-zone bonds. These bonds will be debt issued together by all the euro-zone members. However, German Chancellor Angela Merkel opposed the idea saying that the European Union’s terms prohibit "taking on of joint liability" of debt "and according to our opinion that also includes euro bonds".

As for the sectors, the Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) jumped 1.2% and contributed to benchmarks’ rebound. Among the material components, E I Du Pont De Nemours And Co (NYSE:DD), Newmont Mining Corporation (NYSE:NEM), The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS), Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. (NYSE:FCX) and PPG Industries, Inc. (NYSE:PPG) jumped 0.3%, 2.9%, 2.5%, 1.9% and 1.6%, respectively.

Separately, the largest component of the Nasdaq and the most valuable company Apple Inc.’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) gain of 2.4% was crucial for the benchmark’s green finish. However, other tech bellwethers including International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:IBM), Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), Red Hat, Inc. (NYSE:RHT) and Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE:HPQ) slumped 0.4%, 2.2%, 3.4% and 3.2%, respectively.

Stock Market News Archive

Company News Summary
Company News for May 24, 2012
by Zacks Equity Research on May 24, 2012

•    Bank of Montreal (NYSE:BMO) posted second quarter earnings per share of $1.42, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.37

•    Toll Brothers Inc (NYSE:TOL) reported second quarter earnings per share of $0.10, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.04

•    PetSmart, Inc. (NASDAQ:PETM) posted first quarter earnings per share of $0.85, breezing past the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.73 by 12 cents

•    Guess?, Inc. (NYSE:GES) reported first quarter earnings per share of $0.30, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.26
 

Company News Archive

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