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The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights: Chuy's, Lowe's Companies, Target, Beacon Roofing Supply and Best Buy

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For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – November 5, 2020 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include: Chuy's Holdings, Inc. (CHUY - Free Report) , Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW - Free Report) , Target Corporation (TGT - Free Report) , Beacon Roofing Supply, Inc. (BECN - Free Report) and Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY - Free Report) .

Here are highlights from Wednesday’s Analyst Blog:

Retailers to Stock Up On Ahead of Earnings This Month

We are in the middle of the third-quarter 2020 earnings season and overall results are better than expected so far. Market participants are watching the results closely as the quarter was a mixed one both in terms of economic data and stock market performance.

Meanwhile, six retailers with a favorable Zacks Rank are set to release earnings results this month. Investment in these stocks is likely to be prudent at this stage.

Retail Sector in Q3

The retail sector grew in the third quarter albeit at a slow rate. Retail sales grew 0.9%, 0.6% and 1.9%, respectively, in July, August and September. Core retail sales (excluding the volatile auto sales) rose 1.3%, 0.5% and 1.6%, respectively, in the three months. Notably, core retail sales constitute a major part of the consumer spending component of the U.S. GDP.

The resurgence of coronavirus in the United States significantly dented retail sales. Moreover, the inability of the U.S. Congress to reach a deal on the size and scope of a fresh fiscal stimulus was a major reason for the tepid growth rate. However, the most important point is that retail sales grew despite the lack of a new trench of stimulus. Meanwhile, in absolute terms, retail sales have reached the pre-pandemic level.

Q3 Earnings Results in Brief

The third-quarter earnings season has started on a positive note although overall earnings are likely to remain negative. As of Oct 30, total S&P 500 earnings are expected to decline 10.5% on 2.8% lower revenues. This would mean an improvement over an earnings decline of 22% year over year on 2.9% lower revenues, as projected before the reporting cycle.  

This also implies a marked improvement over second-quarter earnings that had plunged 32.3% on 9.2% lower revenues. Notably, first-quarter earnings of companies on the S&P 500 Index were down 13.5% on 1.4% higher revenues. More importantly, earnings expectations for the fourth quarter are gradually improving since July.

Our Top Picks

We have narrowed down our search to six retail stocks that are slated to release their earnings results this month. Each of these stocks carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and has a positive Earnings ESP. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Our research shows that for stocks with the combination of a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better and a positive Earnings ESP, the chance of an earnings beat is as high as 70%. These stocks are anticipated to appreciate after earnings releases. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

The chart below shows the price performance of our five picks in the third quarter.

Chuy's Holdings owns and operates full-service restaurants serving a distinct menu of authentic Mexican food in Texas and 19 states in the Southeastern and Midwestern United States. The company has an Earnings ESP of +35.62%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has improved 5% over the last 7 days. It has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 87.3%, on average. The company is set to release earnings results on Nov 5, after the closing bell.

Lowe's Companies is one of the world’s leading home improvement retailers, offering services to homeowners, renters and commercial business customers. The company has an Earnings ESP of +2.90% for the third quarter of fiscal 2020 (ended October 2020).

Lowe's Companies has an expected earnings growth rate of 48.8% for the current year (ending January 2021). The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 0.4% over the last 30 days. It has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 17.2%, on average. The company will release its earnings report on Nov 18, before the opening bell.

Target operates as a general merchandise retailer in the United States. It offers beauty and household essentials, food assortments, including perishables, dry grocery, dairy, and frozen items; and apparel, accessories, home décor products, electronics, toys, seasonal offerings, and other merchandise. The company has an Earnings ESP of +11.29% for third-quarter fiscal 2020 (ended October 2020).

Target has an expected earnings growth rate of 12.6% for the current year (ending January 2021). The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 0.4% over the last 30 days. It has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 37.6%, on average. The company will release earnings report on Nov 18, before the opening bell.

Beacon Roofing Supply distributes residential and commercial roofing materials, and other complementary building materials to contractors, home builders, retailers, and building materials suppliers. The company has an Earnings ESP of +3.25%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has improved 1% over the last 30 days. It has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.9%, on average. The company is set to release its earnings results on Nov 19, after the closing bell.

Best Buy operates as a retailer of technology products, services, and solutions in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company operates through two segments, Domestic and International. The company has an Earnings ESP of +14.92% for third-quarter fiscal 2020 (ended October 2020).

Best Buy has an expected earnings growth rate of 18% for the current year (ending January 2021). The Zacks Consensus Estimate for current-year earnings has improved 0.6% over the last 30 days. It has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 33.5%, on average. The company will release its earnings report on Nov 24, before the opening bell.

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Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. This material is being provided for informational purposes only and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. All information is current as of the date of herein and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Zacks Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or asset management activities of any securities. These returns are from hypothetical portfolios consisting of stocks with Zacks Rank = 1 that were rebalanced monthly with zero transaction costs. These are not the returns of actual portfolios of stocks. The S&P 500 is an unmanaged index. Visit https://www.zacks.com/performance for information about the performance numbers displayed in this press release.

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