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Walmart, Costco, CVS, and Target are part of Zacks Earnings Preview

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For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – May 16, 2022 – Zacks.com releases the list of companies likely to issue earnings surprises. This week’s list includes Walmart (WMT - Free Report) , Costco (COST - Free Report) , CVS (CVS - Free Report) , and Target (TGT - Free Report) .

Previewing Retail Sector Earnings as Inflation Climbs

Walmart shares have been a rock of stability in the ongoing market turmoil. You can see this in the chart below that shows the year-to-date performance of Walmart shares relative to the S&P 500 index (green line) and the Zacks Retail sector (red line).

Part of the explanation for Walmart's stock market stability is the nature of its business that offers a high degree of defense during periods of economic instability and uncertainty. This almost 'staple' aspect of Walmart's business can also be seen in the recent stock market behavior of peers like Costco, CVS, Target and others. That said, Walmart shares have fared better than its peers in the year-to-date period.

It will be interesting to see if Walmart and Target can sustain their recent performance momentum after quarterly reports this week, with Walmart reporting before the market's open on Tuesday, May 17th and Target the following morning.

Walmart shares were up following the last quarterly release on February 17th, even though it had to spend more to keep shelves stocked and stores staffed, with supply-chain costs coming in $400 million more than it had budgeted and the Omicron surge significantly adding to its Covid-specific paid-leave costs.

Estimates for Walmart's April quarter had come down following the last quarterly release, but have since remained stable, reflecting a greater degree of confidence in the company's ability to navigate the prevailing logistical challenges.

With respect to the Retail sector's 2022 Q1 earnings season scorecard, we now have results from 21 of the 34 retailers in the S&P 500 index. Total Q1 earnings for these retailers are down -24.1% from the same period last year on +10.9% higher revenues, with 61.9% beating EPS estimates and 76.2% beating revenue estimates.

With respect to the earnings and revenue growth rates, Amazon's weak numbers play a significant role in the strong year-over-year growth rate for the sector (Amazon is part of the Zacks Retail sector, and not the Zacks Technology sector).

This Week's Reporting Docket

We have more than 200 companies on deck to report results this week, including 16 S&P 500 members.

The 2022 Q1 Earnings Season Scorecard

We now have Q1 results from 459 S&P 500 members or 91.8% of the index's total membership. Total earnings for these companies are up +9.9% from the same period last year on +14.8% higher revenues, with 78.4% beating EPS estimates and 74.9% beating revenue estimates.

The beats percentages were earlier tracking at their lowest levels in recent quarters, but they have notably improved since then.

Looking at Q1 as a whole, with actuals for these 459 index members and estimates for the still-to-come companies, total earnings are expected to be up +9.3% on +13.3% higher revenues.

Excluding the -15.1% decline in Finance sector earnings, the growth rate for the index improves to +17%. On the other hand, the Energy sector has a very robust earnings profile at present, with the sector bringing in +239% more earnings than the year-earlier period on +60.1% higher revenues.

Excluding the hefty Energy sector contribution, earnings for the remainder of the index would be up only +3.3% on +9.9% higher revenues.

For a detailed look at the overall earnings picture, including expectations for the coming periods, please check out our weekly Earnings Trends report >>>>A Stable Earnings Picture Despite the Market Selloff 

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