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Lockheed Martin Q3 Preview: What's in Store?

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The Zacks Aerospace sector has displayed remarkable resiliency in 2022, down roughly 9% and easily outperforming the S&P 500.

An absolute titan in the sector, Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT - Free Report) , is on deck to unveil quarterly results on October 18th before the market open.

Lockheed Martin is the largest defense contractor in the world. The company’s main focus areas are defense, space, intelligence, homeland security, information technology, and cyber security.

Currently, the company carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) paired with an overall VGM Score of an A.

How does the defense titan shape up heading into its print? Let’s take a closer look.

Share Performance & Valuation

LMT shares have been notably strong in 2022, up a double-digit 12% and crushing the general market’s performance.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Over the last three months, shares have continued on their market-beating trajectory, down 1.6% vs. the S&P 500’s 4.7% decline.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The strong price action of LMT shares indicates that buyers have defended the stock much higher than most, undoubtedly a positive in a historically volatile 2022.

Further, LMT shares trade at solid valuation levels, with its 15.2X forward earnings multiple sitting below its five-year median and reflecting a sizable 33% discount relative to its Zacks Aerospace sector.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The company sports a Style Score of a B for Value.

Quarterly Estimates

A singular analyst has lowered their quarterly outlook over the last several months, with the Consensus Estimate Trend slipping marginally. The Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate of $6.60 suggests a slight Y/Y decline of 0.9%.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Still, LMT’s top-line appears to be in better shape; the Zacks Consensus Sales Estimate of $16.8 billion suggests Y/Y revenue growth of a solid 5%.

Quarterly Performance & Market Reactions

LMT has been on a strong earnings streak, exceeding bottom-line estimates in six consecutive quarters. Just in its latest print, the defense titan posted a solid double-digit 14.4% EPS beat.  

However, revenue has come in under expectations in two consecutive quarters. Below is a chart illustrating the company’s revenue on a quarterly basis.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Further, the market has had mixed reactions in response to the company’s quarterly prints as of late, with shares moving downwards twice and upwards twice following its last four earnings releases.

Putting Everything Together

LMT shares have been notably strong in 2022, outperforming the general market across several timeframes.

Valuation levels appear sound, with the company’s forward P/E ratio sitting below its five-year median and Zacks sector.

One analyst has lowered their earnings outlook for the quarter, with estimates indicating a marginal Y/Y decline in earnings but a solid uptick in revenue.

Additionally, LMT has consistently beaten bottom-line estimates, but revenue results have come in under expectations for two consecutive quarters.

Heading into the print, Lockheed Martin (LMT - Free Report) carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) with an Earnings ESP Score of 1.4%.


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