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Can Level 3 Communications (LVLT) Q1 Earnings Surprise?

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Level 3 Communications Inc. , the leading U.S. fiber-optic network service provider, is slated to report first-quarter 2017 financial numbers, after the market closes on May 3.

Last quarter, Level 3 Communications posted a positive earnings surprise of 36.36%. Moreover, the company’s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the previous four quarters, with an average beat of 3.40%.

Shares of Level 3 Communications gained 2.6% failing to beat the Zacks sub-categorized Communication Infrastructure industry’s growth of 9.0%, over the past three months.

Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Factors at Play

Level 3 Communications operates in a highly competitive enterprise communications market. Inspite of its vast presence in the fiber market of Latin America, Europe, Middle East and Asia, it has to compete with telecom behemoths like Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ - Free Report) and AT&T Inc. (T - Free Report) in North America and with Telefonica, Orange, BT Group, America Movil in Europe and Latin America.

Moreover, fluctuations in the global macro economy could have an adverse effect on the company’s business, results of operations and financial condition. Notably, the company faces the risk of adverse foreign currency movements that may impact its top line. Also, the company’s high customer concentrationis a major concern.

Nevertheless, the company has a strong presence in the fields of enterprise networking like data networks, content distribution, managed services, securities, voice cloud and cloud connection. The company continues to benefit from the ongoing trend of large enterprise customers shifting to IP and fiber-based network architecture.

Additionally, the company is on the lookout for strategic mergers and acquisitions or stock buyouts to maximize shareholders’ value. Meanwhile, Level 3 Communications’ plans to expand its Ethernet Services in the Asia Pacific region looks good.

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Level 3 Communications is likely to beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate this quarter. This is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) for this to happen. Unfortunately, that is not the case here as elaborated below.

Zacks ESP: Level 3 Communications has an Earnings ESP of -13.89%. This is because the Most Accurate estimate stands at 31 cents while the Zacks Consensus Estimate is pegged higher at 36 cents. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Zacks Rank: Level 3 Communications has a Zacks Rank #3 which increases the predictive power of ESP. However, the company’s negative ESP makes surprise prediction difficult.

We caution against stocks with a Zacks Rank #4 or 5 (Sell rated) going into the earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions.

Key Pick

Here is a company in the Zacks-categorized broader Computer and Technology sector — which houses Level 3 Communications — that has the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this quarter.

SBA Communications Corporation (SBAC - Free Report) is expected to release first-quarter 2017 results on May 1. The company has an Earnings ESP of +4.55% and a Zacks Rank #3. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

SBA Communications’ earnings failed to beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in any of of the previous four quarters, resulting in an average miss of 79.81%.

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