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What to Expect from Crown Castle (CCI) this Earnings Season?

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Crown Castle International Corp. (CCI - Free Report) , a leading wireless communication tower operator in the U.S., is scheduled to report second-quarter 2017 financial numbers on Jul 19, after market closes.

Last quarter, the company posted a positive earnings surprise of 6.90%. Moreover, the company’s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average beat of 3.10%.

The price performance of Crown Castle was also been impressive over the last six months. The stock returned 12.8%, outshining the Zacks categorized REIT- Equity Trust Other industry’s gain of 5.15% over the same time frame.

Let’s see how things are shaping up for this announcement.

Factors to Consider

Crown Castle’s continuous operation in a consolidated wireless industry has reduced demand for cell tower deployment. This is, therefore, expected to have an adverse effect on the company’s revenues.

The leading four Crown Castle customers – Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ - Free Report) , AT&T Inc. (T - Free Report) , Sprint Corporation (S) and T-Mobile – account for the majority of its total revenue. Hence, loss of any of these customers or consolidation will significantly impact the wireless tower operator’s top line.

Evolution of new technologies may reduce the demand for site leases. In addition, frequent changes in demand for network services and infrastructure support tend to increase volatility in revenues. Moreover, popularity of the Voice over WiFi network is increasing in metro cities. With both mobile handset manufacturers and wireless carriers rapidly adopting the technology, the company’s top line may come under pressure.

Carriers like Sprint are looking for an alternative microwave technology, dubbed as the ‘Next Generation Network’, to replace the more traditional backhaul system.

Also, owing to its expansive international presence, Crown Castle is highly exposed to currency exchange-rate risks.

However, the company’s extensive tower portfolio, increased demand for infrastructure, healthy leasing activity, continual buyout of towers and growing demand for mobile broadband act as major positives. The deployment of 5G network should drive growth of its tower and small cell assets as the wireless carriers look to expand and enhance their networks.

Earnings Whispers

Our proven model does not conclusively show that Crown Castle is likely to beat on earnings this quarter. This is because a stock needs to have both a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) for this to happen. That is not the case here, as you will see below.

Zacks ESP: CrownCastle has an Earnings ESP of -1.74%. This is because the Most Accurate estimate stands at $1.13, lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.15. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with ourEarnings ESP Filter.

Zacks Rank: Crown Castlehas a Zacks Rank #2 which increases the predictive power of ESP. However, the company’s -1.74% ESP makes surprise prediction difficult.

We caution against stocks with a Zacks Rank #4 or 5 (Sell-rated) going into the earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions.

Another Stock to Consider

Liberty Property Trust from the Zacks categorized broader Finance sector has the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat when it expectedly reports second-quarter 2017 results on Jul 25. The company has an Earnings ESP of +1.61% and a Zacks Rank #2. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Liberty Property Trust’s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in two of the previous four quarters, with an average beat of 2.05%.

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