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Will Harvey Mar Union Pacific (UNP) Results in Q3 Earnings?

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Union Pacific Corporation (UNP - Free Report) is slated to release third-quarter 2017 results on Oct 26, before the market opens.

Last quarter, the company delivered a positive earnings surprise of 5.8%. Also, the company has an impressive earnings history, having surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters with an average beat of 3.7%.

Let’s see what awaits the company in the third quarter.

Factors at Play

The company expects the Hurricane Harvey to hurt its bottom line to the tune of approximately 5 cents per share in the third quarter.

Additionally, the company expects its automotive unit to suffer in the third quarter. Sluggish auto production is likely to hamper results this yet-to-be-reported quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for automotive revenues stands at $490 million, lower than $513 million reported in the previous quarter.

Units like agricultural products and chemicals are also expected to register below-par volumes in the quarter to be reported.  For agricultural products, the Zacks Consensus Estimate stands at $917 million. While for chemicals, the metric stands at $892 million, slightly lower than the $898 million reported in second-quarter 2017.

Shares of the company have underperformed its industry in a month due to the aforementioned headwinds. The stock has lost 2.4% of its value versus the industry’s 0.3% gain during the period.

However, the improved coal scenario is likely to aid the company’s third-quarter results. The industrial products unit is expected to perform well in the third quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for industrial products revenues stands at $988 million.

In addition, the company’s cost-cutting efforts to increase efficiencies are impressive. In a bid to raise efficiency for utilization of its resources in a better manner, Union Pacific announced that it intends to trim its workforce by up to 750 employees.

Earnings Whispers

Per our proven model, a company needs the right combination of two key ingredients — a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better — to increase the odds of an earnings surprise. However, that is not the case as highlighted below.

Zacks ESP: Union Pacific has an Earnings ESP of -0.34%as the Most Accurate estimate is pegged lower at $1.48 per share than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.49. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter.

Zacks Rank: Union Pacific carries a Zacks Rank #3, which increases the predictive power of ESP. However, the company’s negative ESP leaves our surprise prediction inconclusive.

We caution against all Sell-rated stocks (#4 or 5) going into an earnings announcement, especially when the company is seeing negative estimate revisions.

Stock to Consider

Investors interested in the broader Transportation sector may consider Triton International Limited , Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC - Free Report) and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD - Free Report) with the stocks comprising the right combination of elements to beat on earnings in their next releases.

Triton International has an Earnings ESP of +2.04%. The Zacks #3 Ranked company is expected to report third-quarter earnings numbers on Nov 9. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Norfolk Southern has an Earnings ESP of +0.59% and carries a Zacks Rank of 3 as well. The company will reportthird-quarter 2017 resultson Oct 25.

Expeditors is also #3 Ranked with an Earnings ESP of +1.68%. The company will reportthird-quarter 2017 financial numbers on Nov 7.

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