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Buy AMD Stock for New Peaks as Q2 Earnings Approach?

AMD (AMD - Free Report)  will be a highlight of this week’s earnings lineup, with the chip leader set to release its Q2 report after-market hours on Tuesday, August 5.

Like Nvidia (NVDA - Free Report) , which is scheduled to report later in the month, AMD stock has been performing well due to a combination of strategic product launches, strong AI demand, and favorable market conditions.

Recently hitting a 52-week high of $182 a share, let’s see if fresh peaks are in store for AMD stock as its Q2 earnings approach.

 

AI Momentum & Data Center Growth

Gaining traction from major companies like Oracle (ORCL - Free Report) , Tesla (TSLA - Free Report) , and OpenAI, AMD’s MI355X Graphic Processing Unit (GPU) is reported to deliver over 7X the compute power of its previous high-powered AI chip, the MI325X, and has become a serious contender to Nvidia’s offerings.

Thanks to strong demand for AI accelerators, AMD has raised the price of its MI350 series chips to over $20,000. This is a great sign ahead of AMD’s Q2 report, as the company’s Central Processing Units (CPUs) and GPUs led to a 57% surge in its data center revenue in Q1.  

Also fueling investor sentiment is that recent U.S. policy shifts have loosened export restrictions, allowing AMD to resume its chip shipments to China and potentially adding hundreds of millions in revenue. Rebounding and surging over +70% in the last three months, AMD stock is now up +45% year to date to impressively top the S&P 500 and Nasdaq’s returns of +6% and +8% respectively, while even topping Nvidia’s +32%.

Zacks Investment Research
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AMD’s Q2 Expectations

With analysts expecting another strong quarter of data center growth, AMD’s Q2 sales are expected to be up 27% to $7.41 billion compared to $5.84 billion a year ago. However, AMD is also facing the impact of competitive pricing in the CPU and GPU market, with Q2 earnings thought to have dipped to $0.47 a share compared to EPS of $0.69 in the prior period.

Attributing to margin pressures, higher R&D spending on its next-generation GPUs is thought to have weighed on AMD’s bottom line during Q2 as well.

That said, AMD has reached or exceeded the Zacks EPS Consensus for 25 consecutive quarters, dating back to April of 2019, and has posted an average EPS surprise of 2.3% over its last four quarterly reports. Plus, AMD is still projected to post double-digit top and bottom line growth in fiscal 2025 and FY26, but Wall Street is very much anticipating the company's Q3 guidance to see if the chipmaker can sustain its growth trajectory.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Monitoring AMD’s Valuation

Like most of the leading chipmakers, AMD stock trades at a premium to the broader market at 44X forward earnings. While this is above the benchmark S&P 500’s 23.3X, AMD is roughly on par with Broadcom’s (AVGO - Free Report)  forward P/E valuation and is near Nvidia’s 40.7X.

It’s also noteworthy that AMD trades far more reasonably than some of its AI chip-producing peers in terms of price-to-sales. In this regard, AMD has a forward P/S ratio of 8.7X, with Nvidia and Broadcom stock trading over 20X forward sales.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

 

Bottom Line

For now, AMD stock lands a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). To that point, it wouldn’t be surprising if AMD stock hit new peaks, although better buying opportunities could be ahead after such a monstrous rally over the last three months. Keeping this in mind, AMD's Q2 report and guidance will be critical to more upside.  

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