We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience.
This includes personalizing content and advertising.
By pressing "Accept All" or closing out of this banner, you consent to the use of all cookies and similar technologies and the sharing of information they collect with third parties.
You can reject marketing cookies by pressing "Deny Optional," but we still use essential, performance, and functional cookies.
In addition, whether you "Accept All," Deny Optional," click the X or otherwise continue to use the site, you accept our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service, revised from time to time.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
Can These Beaten Down Stocks Turn Things Around? NKE, ADBE
Key Takeaways
Both ADBE and NKE shares have had poor share performance over the past year.
Adobe remains at risk from AI disruption, whereas NIKE has struggled to meet consumer demands.
Both companies report results this month, likely clearing up much of the foggy outlook for both.
While the market has been undoubtedly strong over the past year, the same can’t be said for several well-known stocks, a list that includes Adobe (ADBE - Free Report) , and NIKE (NKE - Free Report) .
Below is a chart illustrating the performance of each over the past year, with the S&P 500 blended in as a benchmark.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Given the weakness, do they deserve a closer look at their slashed prices?
NIKE Can't Find its Stride
NIKE shares have been weak for some time now, with an inability to capture consumers’ attention post-COVID weighing heavily on sentiment. It’s also important to note that NIKE largely cut out retailers to push direct sales over recent years, but the reduction of shelf space backfired considerably, significantly reducing its presence.
Recognizing part of the issue, the company has been actively rebuilding its relationships with retailers and placing greater emphasis on its more popular shoes. The company’s profitability picture has also been challenged, with its gross margin contracting 300 basis points year-over-year throughout its latest period.
Please note that the chart below tracks margins on a trailing twelve-month basis.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The company is actually on deck to report quarterly results at the end of March, which will likely give much more visibility concerning its turnaround efforts and broader outlook. EPS and sales expectations for the upcoming release are down quite a bit since mid-December, but the stability throughout February remains an important takeaway, helping paint a somewhat positive picture leading up to the release.
Below is an image illustrating the evolving revisions picture for the upcoming release.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Given the rough quarterly results and showing over recent months, remaining patient would likely be the better play here, particularly as the company gives further information and guidance surrounding its current turnaround play. NIKE’s release is expected on March 31st.
Adobe Sentiment Plunges
Adobe shares have seen a lot of negative sentiment over recent months, with AI disruption fears being reflected in the share performance. While there are still no sure-fire signs that the company is in imminent danger stemming from the AI craze, the argument remains valid nonetheless. Most software stocks have faced pressure from the sentiment, with Adobe not alone in this regard.
Similar to NIKE, the company is on deck to report results in the coming weeks, with the print expected on March 12th. EPS and sales revisions for the quarter to be reported have also remained stable, with the current $5.88 Zacks Consensus EPS estimate suggesting 15% YoY growth.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
But while the stability is a positive takeaway, the company still remains vulnerable to a high level of disruption from AI-related technologies, keeping the overall outlook cloudy at this point. Like NIKE, it seems like a stronger idea to wait until we actually hear from the company in the coming weeks concerning its response to the fears, but it’s worth keeping in mind that it won’t explicitly state that it’s at risk. Guidance and revisions that follow post-earnings will be a key deciding factor, with the current cloudy outlook not all that reassuring at present.
That being said, the valuation picture here still can’t be overlooked, with the current 10.8X forward 12-month earnings multiple a fraction of the 32.1X five-year median, also reflecting a steep 52% discount relative to the S&P 500. Much of the negativity has likely already been priced in, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that the stock has great upside given the current disruption risks.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Putting Everything Together
Both titans in their respective industries, NIKE (NKE - Free Report) and Adobe (ADBE - Free Report) , have faced considerable pressure over the last year, with sentiment skewed for some time now.
Both stocks report results this month, with the releases coming at a critical time given the current sentiment. Guidance and commentary remain critical for the post-earnings reactions and sentiment that follows, with both companies undoubtedly remaining in a challenging spot.
Specifically, NIKE has struggled to capture what its consumers want, with a loss of shelf space also reducing its presence to the consumer. Adobe is at risk of considerable disruption from the broader AI outlook, but it’s hard to imagine shares becoming even cheaper than they currently stand.
See More Zacks Research for These Tickers
Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:
View the Zacks #1 Rank List
Image: Bigstock
Can These Beaten Down Stocks Turn Things Around? NKE, ADBE
Key Takeaways
While the market has been undoubtedly strong over the past year, the same can’t be said for several well-known stocks, a list that includes Adobe (ADBE - Free Report) , and NIKE (NKE - Free Report) .
Below is a chart illustrating the performance of each over the past year, with the S&P 500 blended in as a benchmark.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Given the weakness, do they deserve a closer look at their slashed prices?
NIKE Can't Find its Stride
NIKE shares have been weak for some time now, with an inability to capture consumers’ attention post-COVID weighing heavily on sentiment. It’s also important to note that NIKE largely cut out retailers to push direct sales over recent years, but the reduction of shelf space backfired considerably, significantly reducing its presence.
Recognizing part of the issue, the company has been actively rebuilding its relationships with retailers and placing greater emphasis on its more popular shoes. The company’s profitability picture has also been challenged, with its gross margin contracting 300 basis points year-over-year throughout its latest period.
Please note that the chart below tracks margins on a trailing twelve-month basis.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The company is actually on deck to report quarterly results at the end of March, which will likely give much more visibility concerning its turnaround efforts and broader outlook. EPS and sales expectations for the upcoming release are down quite a bit since mid-December, but the stability throughout February remains an important takeaway, helping paint a somewhat positive picture leading up to the release.
Below is an image illustrating the evolving revisions picture for the upcoming release.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Given the rough quarterly results and showing over recent months, remaining patient would likely be the better play here, particularly as the company gives further information and guidance surrounding its current turnaround play. NIKE’s release is expected on March 31st.
Adobe Sentiment Plunges
Adobe shares have seen a lot of negative sentiment over recent months, with AI disruption fears being reflected in the share performance. While there are still no sure-fire signs that the company is in imminent danger stemming from the AI craze, the argument remains valid nonetheless. Most software stocks have faced pressure from the sentiment, with Adobe not alone in this regard.
Similar to NIKE, the company is on deck to report results in the coming weeks, with the print expected on March 12th. EPS and sales revisions for the quarter to be reported have also remained stable, with the current $5.88 Zacks Consensus EPS estimate suggesting 15% YoY growth.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
But while the stability is a positive takeaway, the company still remains vulnerable to a high level of disruption from AI-related technologies, keeping the overall outlook cloudy at this point. Like NIKE, it seems like a stronger idea to wait until we actually hear from the company in the coming weeks concerning its response to the fears, but it’s worth keeping in mind that it won’t explicitly state that it’s at risk. Guidance and revisions that follow post-earnings will be a key deciding factor, with the current cloudy outlook not all that reassuring at present.
That being said, the valuation picture here still can’t be overlooked, with the current 10.8X forward 12-month earnings multiple a fraction of the 32.1X five-year median, also reflecting a steep 52% discount relative to the S&P 500. Much of the negativity has likely already been priced in, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that the stock has great upside given the current disruption risks.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Putting Everything Together
Both titans in their respective industries, NIKE (NKE - Free Report) and Adobe (ADBE - Free Report) , have faced considerable pressure over the last year, with sentiment skewed for some time now.
Both stocks report results this month, with the releases coming at a critical time given the current sentiment. Guidance and commentary remain critical for the post-earnings reactions and sentiment that follows, with both companies undoubtedly remaining in a challenging spot.
Specifically, NIKE has struggled to capture what its consumers want, with a loss of shelf space also reducing its presence to the consumer. Adobe is at risk of considerable disruption from the broader AI outlook, but it’s hard to imagine shares becoming even cheaper than they currently stand.