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Bear of the Day: Dave & Buster's (PLAY)

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Key Takeaways

  • PLAY reported a Q4 loss of 35 cents per share, missing estimates and down from 66 cents EPS a year ago
  • Profit collapse just went from bad to worse as this year flips to a 167% annual EPS loss
  • Entertainment sales dropped 6.6% on weaker gaming demand, higher costs and weather pressured menu margins

Dave & Buster's ((PLAY - Free Report) ) has been consistently in the cellar of the Zacks Rank for years now. 

I recall writing about it in 2024 when the stock was in the $60s and $50s. And I gave an update on April 17 when shares had just rallied back to $15 after another weak quarterly earnings report.

Many Quarters Later, the Decline Persists

On March 31, PLAY delivered their Q4 FY'26 report with these highlights...

>>PLAY reported a Q4 loss of 35 cents per share, missing estimates and down from 66 cents EPS a year ago.
>>Revenues fell 0.9% to $529.6M as entertainment sales dropped 6.6% on weaker gaming demand.
>>Comparable sales declined 3.3%, while higher costs and weather disruptions pressured margins.

You can read more in this report: Dave & Buster's Q4 Earnings & Revenues Miss Estimates, Down Y/Y

Subsequent to these data points and management commentary, analysts slashed their full year FY'27 estimates (began February), driving the Zacks EPS Consensus from a PROFIT of 47-cents to a LOSS of 80-cents -- representing an annual decline of 167%.

Next year's forecasts were also flipped from profit to loss in early April.

But in the past month, it gets worse. This year dropped another 6-cents to -$0.86 -- for an annual loss of 187% -- and next year is dumped 13% to -$0.96.

My thesis is this: the earnings decline continues as new QSR, health-focused, and entertainment options multiply in a vibrant economy.

Bottom line: PLAY might be a fun place to take the family or watch a ball game with friends, but there's no joy for your money here. The Zacks Rank will let you know when it's time to play the stock again.

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