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Stocks Cheer U.S.-China Trade Deal, Market Poised For Strong End Of Year Rally

Stocks soared on Monday after President Trump and President Xi came to a trade truce over the weekend which will benefit both countries.

As expected, stocks cheered the deal made at dinner on Saturday where they agreed there would be no new tariffs placed on either country for the next 90 days (that includes freezing the planned tariff increase from 10% to 25% on $200 billion of Chinese goods). In return, China has agreed to purchase a substantial amount of U.S. products, including agricultural goods.

Within those 90 days, both countries will continue their talks to work out the more difficult trade issues that have precluded an agreement prior to this.

If no agreement is reached within that time frame, the U.S. has threatened to raise those 10% tariffs to 25% as originally planned, and has threatened additional tariffs on another $267 billion worth of Chinese goods. China, of course, would retaliate as they have in the past.

But both countries took a victory lap yesterday and the markets responded enthusiastically.

The next 'crisis' that was set to grip the market was the impending budget deadline on December 7th where a showdown over the border wall could potentially shut the government down. But that deadline was pushed out two weeks to December 21st due to the funeral services for President George H.W. Bush.

In fact, the market will be closed on Wednesday in observance of the passing of our 41st President of the United States.

Yesterday's rally was impressive. As was the week that preceded it (which was the best weekly gain for stocks in 7 years).

While there could still be more volatility in the coming days and weeks, it's clear that with a historically strong economy and jobs market, stocks are poised for more gains to come and likely a spectacular 2019!

So make sure you're taking full advantage of it.

See you tomorrow,

Kevin Matras

Executive Vice President, Zacks Investment Research

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