Back to top

View the PFP Archive

Market Moves You Need to See
Kevin Matras   
Profit from the Pros
By Kevin Matras
Executive Vice President
Zacks Investment Research
  

Stocks End Lower As More Jobs Data Awaits

Stocks closed modestly lower yesterday, giving up earlier intraday gains, as the market awaits more jobs data.

Yesterday's ADP Employment report came in weaker than expected at 103,000 private payroll jobs in November vs. the consensus for 123,000. The report was cheered in the morning, but soon came off their highs before turning lower.

A 100K+ jobs report is not a bad report. And missing by 20,000 is not that much. Lately, economic reports coming in on the slightly weaker side have been viewed as a positive for the market as it underscores the idea that the Fed does not need to raise rates any further. And their 'higher for longer' stance may not need to be as long either.

Today we'll get more jobs data with the Challenger Job-Cut Report, and the Weekly Jobless Claims.

But the jobs report everybody is really waiting on is Friday's Employment Situation report. At the moment, the consensus is calling for 180,000 jobs being created in November (150K in the private sector and 30K in the public), while the unemployment rate stays the same at 3.9%. That comes out at 8:30 AM ET tomorrow.

In other news, yesterday's MBA Mortgage Applications rose by 2.8% w/w as Treasury yields and mortgage rates fell. Purchases were down -0.3%, but refi's were up a sharp 13.9%.

The International Trade in Goods and Services report showed the trade deficit expanding to -$64.3 billion vs. last month's -$61.2B and views for -$64.1B.

The Productivity and Costs report showed nonfarm productivity up 5.2% (annual rate) vs. last month's 4.7% and estimates for 4.8%. Conversely, unit labor costs were down -1.2%.

In addition to the two jobs reports out this morning, we'll also get Wholesale Inventories, and Consumer Credit.

But again, the main event this week will be Friday's Employment report.

With 2 days left, the indexes are currently lower for the week.

But not by much. And one good report could easily put stocks back on the plus side and vying for new YTD highs.

A few modest down days have not done anything to mess up the current Q4 rally.

And with the seasonal trends in the markets favor, it looks like there's more upside to go.

See you tomorrow,

Kevin Matras

Executive Vice President, Zacks Investment Research

Sponsor

Look Inside All Zacks Private Portfolios. Only $1.

Through good markets and bad, one unique stock-picking method has more than doubled the market's average gain with an incredible +24.0% per year. A $10,000 investment in 1988 could have grown to $21.7 million today.

By closely tracking the most influential force impacting stock prices, the Zacks Rank has arguably become the most powerful predictive tool in the investing world.

Starting today, we'll open the vault for one month so you can see all our real-time buys and sells. Total cost $1, and not a cent of further obligation.

Special opportunity ends at midnight Sunday, December 10.

See Stocks Now »

Most Popular Articles from Zacks.com

Image: Bigstock

4 Stocks to Buy on Solid Jump in Services Sector Activity

The U.S. services sector, which has witnessed a slowdown lately owing to the ongoing inflationary pressures, is now showing signs of recovery. Read More »

Image: Bigstock

Q4 Earnings: What Can Investors Expect?

Earnings estimates for Q4 have been steadily coming down since the quarter got underway, with the negative revisions trend fairly broad-based. Read More »

Image: Bigstock

Uncertainty on the Rise in 2024: 3 Stocks Investors Should Buy

These select stocks should perform well regardless of the kind of economic landscape. Read More »

Image: Bigstock

Online Learning Company Gains Traction as Universities Jump Aboard

This online course provider has soared to a 52-week high and is one of 2023's biggest winners. Read More »

Image: Bigstock

Magnificent Seven ETFs: A Review of 2023 & What Lies Ahead

The Magnificent Seven stocks had a great 2023 and played a key role in pushing the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq higher. Read More »

Sponsor

What's Today's Top Rated Mutual Fund?

Use the Zacks Mutual Fund Rank, a quantitative ratings system designed to help you find the best funds to beat the market. See which ones to buy, which to sell and track your favorite mutual fund family.

Get started now »

Image: Shutterstock

Bull of the Day: Zoom Video Comms (ZM)

With its versatile platform, the work-from-home trend, and the favorable valuation, ZM should be higher in six to twelve months. Read More »

New Zacks Strong Buys for December 7th

Here are 5 stocks added to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) List today. Read More »

 

Download our app for convenient on-the-go access to even more—daily and weekly newsletters published by Zacks experts, proprietary research and tools, and Portfolio Tracker on Zacks.com.

Download our Zacks App for Apple iOS
Download our Zacks App for Android

Visit Success Stories to hear how Zacks research, tools and portfolios help our members outperform the market.