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Earnings Outlook: Archive
2023 Q1 Earnings Season Off to a Promising Start
by Sheraz Mian
The 2023 Q1 earnings picture emerging at this early stage is one of resilience and stability, with an above-average proportion of companies beating estimates and providing a good-enough outlook in an uncertain macro environment.
BACNegative Net Change JPMNegative Net Change CNegative Net Change PNCNegative Net Change USBNegative Net Change MTBNegative Net Change
earnings finance
Are Earnings Estimates Too High?
by Sheraz Mian
We discuss whether current earnings estimates reflect the fundamental ground reality.
JPMNegative Net Change CNegative Net Change FRCPositive Net Change
earnings
2023 Q1 Earnings Season Likely to Reflect Continued Margin Pressures
by Sheraz Mian
2023 Q1 will be the 5th consecutive quarter of declining year-over-year net margins, with S&P 500 net margins expected to compress 147 basis points from the year-earlier level. With profitability in a crunch, where do we go from here?
JPMNegative Net Change CNegative Net Change FRCPositive Net Change
earnings finance
Bank Earnings Looming: What Can Investors Expect?
by Sheraz Mian
The Finance sector enjoyed modest upward revisions to estimates in the first two months of the quarter until the Silicon Valley Bank episode. Are investors in for a surprise?
JPMNegative Net Change CNegative Net Change FRCPositive Net Change
earnings finance
Analyzing the Evolving Q1 Earnings Landscape
by Sheraz Mian
As has been the case in recent quarters, estimates for 2023 Q1 have been steadily coming down. With negative sentiment taking hold, where do we go from here?
JPMNegative Net Change CNegative Net Change
earnings finance
What Should Investors Expect For the 2023 Q1 Earnings Season?
by Sheraz Mian
Total S&P 500 earnings for 2023 Q1 are expected to be down -9.4% year-over-year on +1.8% higher revenues. Given these expectations, where does the market head from here?
NVDAPositive Net Change GOOGLPositive Net Change METAPositive Net Change
earnings finance tech-stocks
Will Tech Sector Earnings Growth Resume in Q1?
by Sheraz Mian
The Tech sector has gotten off to a great start in 2023, handily outperforming the S&P 500 index in the year-to-date period. Can a strong 2023 Q1 season push them even higher?
NVDAPositive Net Change GOOGLPositive Net Change METAPositive Net Change
earnings tech-stocks
Q4 Earnings Season Is Winding Down, Let's See What's Next
by Sheraz Mian
Looking at 2022 Q4 as a whole, aggregate S&P 500 earnings are currently expected to be down -5.6% on +5.8% higher revenues. But what's next is crucial...
AMZNNegative Net Change TGTNegative Net Change WMTPositive Net Change HDNegative Net Change
earnings retail
Exploring the Retail Sector and Looking Ahead to 2023 Earnings
by Sheraz Mian
The only remaining points of interest in the 2022 Q4 reporting cycle pertain to results from traditional retailers, with Walmart (WMT) and Home Depot (HD) already out and the others on deck to report in the coming days.
AMZNNegative Net Change WMTPositive Net Change HDNegative Net Change
earnings retail
Making Sense of Earnings Estimate Revisions for Q1 FY23 and Beyond
by Sheraz Mian
For 2023 Q1, S&P 500 earnings are currently expected to be down -8.3% on +2.1% higher revenues. This is down from -4% on January 6th and -2.9% in mid-December 2022.
AMZNNegative Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change GOOGLPositive Net Change
earnings finance tech-stocks
Breaking Down the Q4 Scorecard and the Evolving Earnings Outlook
by Sheraz Mian
Looking at 2022 Q4 as a whole, aggregate S&P 500 earnings are currently expected to be down -5.8% on +5.3% higher revenues
INTCPositive Net Change AMDPositive Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change
earnings tech-stocks
A Steady Earnings Picture, Without a 'Cliff' In Sight
by Sheraz Mian
The Q4 earnings season continues to show that while growth is moderating and decelerating, it isn't falling off the cliff that many appeared to fear could be in store for us.
INTCPositive Net Change AMDPositive Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change
earnings tech-stocks
Digging into the Early Q4 Earnings Season Scorecard
by Sheraz Mian
Looking at 2022 Q4 as a whole, aggregate S&P 500 earnings are currently expected to be down -7.2% on +3.9% higher revenues. The question now is what's to come?
AMZNNegative Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change GOOGLPositive Net Change
earnings tech-stocks
A Good Enough Start to the Q4 Earnings Season
by Sheraz Mian
We are off to a good-enough start to the 2022 Q4 season, with no signs yet of an impending earnings cliff that will prompt management teams to overwhelmingly guide lower. That said, companies appear to be struggling to beat consensus estimates...
BACNegative Net Change WFCNegative Net Change JPMNegative Net Change
earnings finance
Are Earnings Estimates at Risk of Big Cuts in the Days Ahead?
by Sheraz Mian
Many in the market consider current earnings expectations to be too high and fear that the Q4 earnings season will cause estimates to be significantly lowered. Let's investigate...
BACNegative Net Change WFCNegative Net Change JPMNegative Net Change CNegative Net Change
earnings
2022 Q4 Earnings Season Preview: Will Estimates Hold Their Ground?
by Sheraz Mian
Many in the market consider current earnings expectations to be too high and fear that the Q4 earnings season will cause estimates to be lowered significantly. We strongly dispute the notion that earnings estimates remain out of sync with the economic ground reality...
BACNegative Net Change WFCNegative Net Change JPMNegative Net Change CNegative Net Change
earnings
Earnings Estimates Keep Coming Down
by Sheraz Mian
The trend of negative estimate revisions that was already firmly in place ahead of the start of the Q3 earnings season has further accelerated since then
TGTNegative Net Change WMTPositive Net Change
earnings
Evaluating Further Downside Risks to Earnings Estimates
by Sheraz Mian
Full year 2023 earnings estimates have been coming down after peaking in mid-April, with the aggregate total down -8.4% from the peak for the index
TGTNegative Net Change WMTPositive Net Change LOWNegative Net Change
earnings retail
Q3 Earnings Season - Better Than Expected or Lackluster?
by Sheraz Mian
We discuss the big-picture takeaways from the Q3 earnings season and the forces that shaped it.
MSFTPositive Net Change KOPositive Net Change ADBENegative Net Change
earnings
Making Sense of the Earnings Picture and Estimate Revisions
by Sheraz Mian
Looking at 2022 Q3 as a whole, total S&P 500 earnings are currently expected to be up +1.5% from the same period last year on +11.4% higher revenues. Excluding contributions from the Energy sector, Q3 earnings for the rest of the index would be -6.0%
DDNegative Net Change TTWONegative Net Change DISNegative Net Change VTRSNegative Net Change
earnings
Breaking Down the Earnings Picture as Estimates Fade
by Sheraz Mian
Overall corporate profitability isn't great, but it isn't bad either. That said, estimates for the coming periods are steadily coming down, with the revisions trend accelerating in recent days.
AMZNNegative Net Change AAPLNegative Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change GOOGLPositive Net Change METAPositive Net Change
earnings tech-stocks
The Earnings Picture Is Good, But Not Great
by Sheraz Mian
The picture emerging from the 2022 Q3 earnings season continues to go against pre-season fears of an impending earnings cliff. Overall corporate profitability isn't great, but it isn't bad either.
AMZNNegative Net Change MSFTPositive Net Change UPSPositive Net Change FDXNegative Net Change GOOGLPositive Net Change
earnings
How Critical Is This Earnings Season?
by Sheraz Mian
We discuss whether the Q3 earnings season will be able to reset market expectations for the coming periods.
BACNegative Net Change JPMNegative Net Change AAPLNegative Net Change
earnings
The Earnings Picture Is Good Enough, So Far
by Sheraz Mian
The picture emerging from the 2022 Q3 earnings season belies pre-season fears of an impending earnings cliff. The overall corporate profitability picture isn't great, but it isn't bad either.
BACNegative Net Change UALPositive Net Change PGNegative Net Change JBHTNegative Net Change GISPositive Net Change PEPNegative Net Change
earnings finance
Breaking Down the Rough Start to Q3 Earnings Season
by Sheraz Mian
The early 2022 Q3 results don't inspire a lot of confidence about the overall earnings picture. At this admittedly early stage, companies appear to be struggling to beat consensus estimates that had already come down significantly.
CCLNegative Net Change NKENegative Net Change FDXNegative Net Change
earnings