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Covenant Logistics (CVLG) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run?

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Shares of Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG - Free Report) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 8% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $22.25 in the previous session. Covenant Logistics Group has gained 44.5% since the start of the year compared to the 10.3% move for the Zacks Transportation sector and the 24.4% return for the Zacks Transportation - Truck industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on January 25, 2021, Covenant Logistics reported EPS of $0.61 versus consensus estimate of $0.6 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 0.82%.

Valuation Metrics

Covenant Logistics may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Covenant Logistics has a Value Score of A. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of A.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 10.6X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 4.3X versus its peer group's average of 8.7X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Covenant Logistics currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Covenant Logistics passes the test. Thus, it seems as though Covenant Logistics shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.


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