For Immediate Release
Chicago, IL – May 24, 2021 – Zacks.com releases the list of companies likely to issue earnings surprises. This week’s list includes AutoZone, Inc. (
AZO Quick Quote AZO - Free Report) , Costco Wholesale Corporation ( COST Quick Quote COST - Free Report) , NVIDIA Corporation ( NVDA Quick Quote NVDA - Free Report) , salesforce.com, inc. ( CRM Quick Quote CRM - Free Report) and Dollar General Corporation ( DG Quick Quote DG - Free Report) . Looking Ahead to Q2 Earnings Season
We are still waiting on Q1 earnings results from a couple of dozen S&P 500 members at this stage, but the reporting cycle is effectively behind us now.
In fact, of the 15 S&P 500 members on deck to report results this week, two will actually get counted towards the Q2 earnings season. These two are AutoZone reporting on Tuesday, May 25
th, and Costco reporting after the market's close on Thursday, May 27 th. Both of these retailers will be reporting results for their fiscal quarters ending in May, which we and other data aggregators count as part of the June-quarter reporting tally.
The other 13 S&P 500 members reporting results this week, which includes bellwethers like NVIDIA, Salesforce.com, Dollar General and others will be reporting results for their fiscal quarters ending in April, which form part of the March-quarter reporting tally.
We all know that the overall earnings picture is very strong, with broad-based growth momentum across all major sectors and the overall earnings tally reaching a new all-time quarterly record in Q1.
The year-over-year growth numbers were very strong in Q1, partly reflecting the easy comparisons to the year-earlier period. The easy comparisons issue will be even more pronounced in Q2 as the corresponding 2020 period represented the pandemic's severest impact.
We should keep in mind, however, that the strong earnings growth we saw in Q1 and the even stronger growth expected in Q2 is also reflective of genuine growth in the absolute sense, not just a result of easy comparisons.
These are quarterly earnings totals, with aggregate earnings estimates for 2021 Q2, and actually reported earnings for 2020 Q2 and 2019 Q2 highlighted.
You can see that 2021 Q2 earnings for the S&P 500 index are expected to be up +58.4% from the Covid-hit 2020 Q2 period. But even relative to the pre-Covid 2019 Q2 period, 2021 Q2 earnings are expected to be up +7.3%.
Estimates have been steadily going up, as we have been consistently pointing out in our earnings commentary, though the favorable revisions trend has eased off in recent weeks.
2021 earnings and revenues are expected to be up +33.2% and +9.9%, respectively, which follows the Covid-driven decline of -13.1% in 2020.
On an index 'EPS' basis, the 2021 expectation works out to $181.02, up from $135.98 per 'Index share' in 2020.
Recap of Q1 Earnings Season Scorecard (As of Friday, May 21 st)
We now have Q1 results from 477 S&P 500 members or 95.4% of the index's total membership. Total earnings (or aggregate net income) for these 477 companies are up +48.4% from the same period last year on +10.1% higher revenues, with 86% beating EPS and 77.4% beating revenue estimates.
As noted earlier, we have 13 index members on deck to report Q1 results this week.
The two sets of comparison charts below put the Q1 results from these 477 index members in a historical context, which should give us a sense how the Q1 earnings season is tracking at this stage relative to other recent periods.
On an ex-Finance basis, the Q1 earnings growth for the remaining companies that have reported results drops to +37.2%. But even on an ex-Finance basis, the Q1 earnings growth rate still compares favorably to other recent periods.
For a detailed look at the overall earnings picture, including expectations for the coming periods, please check out our weekly Earnings Trends report >>>>
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