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Hershey (HSY) Soars to 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out?

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Have you been paying attention to shares of Hershey Company The (HSY - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 9.3% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $192.7 in the previous session. Hershey Company The has gained 25.9% since the start of the year compared to the 8.2% move for the Zacks Consumer Staples sector and the 28.9% return for the Zacks Food - Confectionery industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on October 28, 2021, Hershey reported EPS of $2.1 versus consensus estimate of $2.02 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 1.01%.

For the current fiscal year, Hershey is expected to post earnings of $7.08 per share on $8.88 billion in revenues. This represents a 12.56% change in EPS on an 8.94% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $7.61 per share on $9.34 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 7.43% and 5.16%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Hershey may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Hershey has a Value Score of C. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are B and D, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 27.1X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 24.8X versus its peer group's average of 25.7X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 3.53. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Hershey currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Hershey passes the test. Thus, it seems as though Hershey shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.

How Does Hershey Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of Hershey have been rising, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also looking good, including United Natural Foods (UNFI - Free Report) , Ingredion (INGR - Free Report) , and Sanderson Farms (SAFM - Free Report) , all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.

The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 19% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Hershey, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.

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