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Delek US Holdings, Inc. (DK) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?

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Have you been paying attention to shares of Delek US Holdings (DK - Free Report) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 14.2% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $31.84 in the previous session. Delek US Holdings has gained 111.8% since the start of the year compared to the 41.4% move for the Zacks Oils-Energy sector and the 41.4% return for the Zacks Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on May 3, 2022, Delek US Holdings reported EPS of $0.58 versus consensus estimate of $-0.14 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 57.46%.

For the current fiscal year, Delek US Holdings is expected to post earnings of $3.64 per share on $16.57 billion in revenues. This represents a 220.13% change in EPS on a 55.6% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $2.52 per share on $14.12 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of -30.91% and -14.77%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Delek US Holdings may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Delek US Holdings has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are C and C, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 8.7X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 10.2X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 60.2X versus its peer group's average of 10X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Delek US Holdings currently has a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Delek US Holdings fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Delek US Holdings shares could have potential in the weeks and months to come.

How Does DK Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of DK have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC - Free Report) . MPC has a Zacks Rank of # 1 (Strong Buy) and a Value Score of B, a Growth Score of B, and a Momentum Score of A.

Earnings were strong last quarter. Marathon Petroleum Corporation beat our consensus estimate by 33.04%, and for the current fiscal year, MPC is expected to post earnings of $11.03 per share on revenue of $131.8 billion.

Shares of Marathon Petroleum Corporation have gained 10.1% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 9.58X and a P/CF of 12.99X.

The Oil and Gas - Refining and Marketing industry is in the top 2% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for DK and MPC, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.


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