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Can Microsoft's Cloud Computing Continue to Deliver Growth?

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A behemoth in the sector, Microsoft (MSFT - Free Report) , is slated to unveil quarterly earnings on October 25th after the market close.

The company’s cloud computing operations has witnessed breakneck growth over its last several quarters and will undoubtedly be a focal point of the release.

Let’s take a deeper dive.

Cloud Computing

Microsoft Azure, the company’s public cloud computing platform, is the only consistent hybrid cloud, delivering unparalleled developer productivity and comprehensive, multilayered security.

The company’s cloud operations raked in $20.9 billion in its latest quarter, marginally falling short of estimates. Still, it represented a sizable 10% sequential uptick and an even larger 20% Y/Y uptick.

“In a dynamic environment we saw strong demand, took share, and increased customer commitment to our cloud platform,” said Amy Hood, CFO, on the company’s most recent cloud results.

For the upcoming release, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the company’s cloud revenue sits at $20.3 billion, suggesting a 3% sequential decrease.

Share Performance & Valuation

Microsoft shares have underperformed the general market by a fair margin in 2022, down nearly 27%, vs. the S&P 500’s decline of roughly 21%.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Over the last three months, however, MSFT shares have primarily traded in line with the general market, as shown in the chart below.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

On a relative basis, Microsoft shares are at a cheap price point; the company’s 24.2X forward earnings multiple is well beneath its five-year median of 28.5X and nowhere near 2021 highs of 37.5X.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

MSFT carries a Style Score of a C for Value.

Quarterly Estimates

Analysts have been bearish in their earnings outlook, with five negative earnings estimate revisions hitting the tape over the last several months. Still, the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate of $2.30 reflects a marginal 1.3% Y/Y uptick in earnings.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

MSFT’s top-line is forecasted to register growth as well, with the Zacks Consensus Sales Estimate of $49.5 billion indicating Y/Y revenue growth of more than 9%.

Bottom Line

The company’s cloud computing operations have been consistently strong, delivering serious growth. Still, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the metric indicates a slight sequential decline.

It will be a significant part of the company’s quarterly print, as cloud computing has quickly become a critical technology that an extensive list of companies is shifting toward.

Microsoft has consistently exceeded earnings expectations, with nine EPS beats across its last ten quarters.

However, the one miss out of the previous ten came in its latest quarterly report, when MSFT fell short of earnings expectations by 2%.

Still, it’s worth noting that shares have moved upward following each of its last four quarterly prints, telling us that the market has liked what it’s seen.


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