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Associated Banc-Corp (ASB) Q4 Earnings Beat on Higher NII

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Associated Banc-Corp’s (ASB - Free Report) fourth-quarter 2022 earnings of 70 cents per share handily surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 65 cents. The bottom line was 43% higher than the prior-year quarter. Our estimate for earnings was 61 cents.

Results were primarily aided by a rise in net interest income (NII) on higher rates. The quarter witnessed an increase in loans and deposit balances. However, a rise in expenses, higher provisions and lower non-interest income hurt the results to some extent.

Net income available to common shareholders was $105.9 million, up 43% from the year-ago quarter.

In 2022, earnings per share of $2.34 grew 7% year over year and beat the consensus estimate of $2.29. Our estimate for earnings was $2.26. Net income available to common shareholders increased 6% to $354.6 million.

Revenues Improve on Higher Loans, Expenses Rise

Net revenues (FTE basis) were $355.6 million, up 30% year over year. The top line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $347.9 million. Our estimate for FTE revenues was $346.8 million.  

In 2022, net revenues (FTE basis) rose 17% to $1.26 billion. The top line beat the consensus estimate of $1.25 billion. Our estimate for FTE revenues was the same as the consensus estimate.

NII was $289 million, surging 55% year over year. Our estimate for NII was $271.3 million. The net interest margin was 3.31%, up 91 basis points (bps) year over year.

Non-interest income declined 24% to $61.7 million. The fall was due to a decline in almost all fee income components except for card-based fees, other fee-based revenues and other income. In the reported quarter, the company recorded a net investment securities gain of $1.9 million. Our estimate for non-interest income was $70.8 million.

Non-interest expenses increased 8% to $196.8 million. The rise was due to increased personnel costs, technology costs, business development and advertising expenses, and FDIC assessment costs. Our estimate for non-interest expenses was $200.7 million.

The adjusted efficiency ratio was 54.28%, down from 64.82% in the prior-year quarter. A fall in the efficiency ratio indicates an improvement in profitability.

As of Dec 31, 2022, total loans were $28.8 billion, up 4% from Sep 30, 2022. Total deposits increased 1% to $29.6 billion.

Credit Quality: Mixed Bag

In the reported quarter, the company recorded a provision for credit losses of $20 million against a provision benefit of $6 million in the prior-year quarter. Our estimate for the metric was $21.7 million.

As of Dec 31, 2022, total non-performing assets were $128.5 million, down 21% year over year. Total non-accrual loans were $111.5 million, declining 15%.

Capital Ratios Deteriorate, Profitability Ratios Improve

As of Dec 31, 2022, Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio was 9.95%, down from 11.02% recorded in the corresponding period of 2021. Common equity Tier 1 capital ratio was 9.35%, down from 10.31%.

At the end of the fourth quarter, annualized return on average assets was 1.12%, up from 0.87% recorded in the prior-year period. Return on average tangible common equity was 16.15%, up from 11.34%.

2023 Outlook

Management expects loan growth to be in the range of 7-9%.

NII is projected to increase in the 15-17% range. On the other hand, non-interest income is expected to decline 6-8%.

Non-interest expenses are anticipated to rise 4-6%.

Our Take

Associated Banc-Corp’s business-restructuring efforts are likely to keep supporting financials. The company has a solid balance-sheet position, making it well-poised for growth. However, elevated expenses and provisions are likely to hurt profits in the near term.
 

Associated BancCorp Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Associated BancCorp Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise

Associated BancCorp price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Associated BancCorp Quote

ASB currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

Performance of Other Banks

Commerce Bancshares Inc.’s (CBSH - Free Report) fourth-quarter 2022 earnings per share of $1.04 surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.02. The bottom line increased 15.6% from the prior-year quarter.

Results primarily benefited from an improvement in NII, a slight rise in loan balance and higher rates. However, an increase in non-interest expenses and provisions and a fall in non-interest income were the major headwinds for CBSH.

BankUnited, Inc.’s (BKU - Free Report) fourth-quarter 2022 earnings per share of 82 cents missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.11 by a considerable margin. The bottom line also declined 41.8% from the prior-year quarter. We had projected earnings per share of 96 cents.

BKU’s results were adversely impacted by subdued fee income performance and an increase in credit costs. However, higher NII, a decent rise in loan balance, increasing rates and a fall in expenses acted as tailwinds.


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