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NVIDIA Q4 Preview: Rebound Quarter Inbound?

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Earnings season continues to chug along, with an extensive list of companies reporting daily.

We’re well into the season now, but there still remains a large number of companies yet to report.

One such company, NVIDIA (NVDA - Free Report) , is slated to unveil quarterly results on Wednesday, February 22nd, after the market close.

NVIDIA is the worldwide leader in visual computing technologies and the inventor of the highly-successful graphic processing unit, or GPU.

How does the company stack up heading into the release? We can use results from a peer, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD - Free Report) , as a small gauge. Let’s take a closer look.

Advanced Micro Devices

AMD posted better-than-expected results, surpassing the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate by more than 4% and reporting EPS of $0.69.

Quarterly revenue totaled $5.6 billion, exceeding our consensus estimate by roughly 1.6% and growing 17% year-over-year. Below is a chart illustrating the company’s revenue on a quarterly basis.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

In addition, cash from operations totaled $567 million, down from $822 million in the year-ago quarter. AMD generated roughly $443 million in free cash flow, again down from the $736 million figure from Q4 2021.

And to top it off, AMD ended the quarter with cash and equivalents of $5.9 billion, up 62% year-over-year.

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Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Still, the company’s Data Center revenue was a focal point of the release. Data Center revenue totaled $1.7 billion for the quarter, growing 42% year-over-year on the back of strong sales of EPYC server processors.

In addition, the reported $1.7 billion figure nicely beat our consensus estimate of $1.6 billion by nearly 5%.

Now, onto NVIDIA.

NVIDIA Q4

Data Center Revenue –

For the quarter, our consensus estimate for NVDA’s Data Center revenue stands at $3.9 billion, implying a positive change of 18% year-over-year.

As we can see in the chart below, the company has struggled to exceed estimates within the metric in recent quarters.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Quarterly Estimates –

Analysts have remained silent for the quarter to be reported, with zero earnings estimate revisions coming in over the last several months. The Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate of $0.81 suggests a nearly 39% decline in earnings year-over-year.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

In addition, our consensus revenue estimate resides at $6 billion, indicating a pullback of 21% year-over-year.

Quarterly Performance –

NVIDIA has posted mixed earnings results as of late, falling short of the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate in back-to-back quarters but exceeding revenue expectations in both instances.

In its latest release, the chip giant fell short of earnings expectations by 17% and reported revenue marginally above expectations.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Valuation –

Currently, NVDA shares trade at a 73.7X forward earnings multiple, undoubtedly on the high end of the spectrum and above the 50.3X five-year median.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

In addition, the company’s forward price-to-sales works out to be 19.4X currently, above the 13.7X five-year median.

Zacks Investment Research
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

NVDA carries a Value Style Score of “F.”

Putting Everything Together

Earnings season continues to roll along, with a wide variety of companies reporting daily.

Next week on Wednesday, February 22nd, after the market close, we’ll receive Q4 results from NVIDIA.

We’ve already received results from a peer, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD - Free Report) , with the company exceeding revenue estimates within its Data Center operations.

Analysts have been silent for NVDA’s quarter, with estimates suggesting year-over-year pullbacks in earnings and revenue.

In addition, the company has fallen short of bottom-line estimates as of late but has consistently delivered better-than-expected revenue results.

Heading into the release, NVIDIA (NVDA - Free Report) is a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) with an Overall VGM Score of “F”.


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