We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience.
This includes personalizing content and advertising.
By pressing "Accept All" or closing out of this banner, you consent to the use of all cookies and similar technologies and the sharing of information they collect with third parties.
You can reject marketing cookies by pressing "Deny Optional," but we still use essential, performance, and functional cookies.
In addition, whether you "Accept All," Deny Optional," click the X or otherwise continue to use the site, you accept our Privacy Policy and Terms of Service, revised from time to time.
You are being directed to ZacksTrade, a division of LBMZ Securities and licensed broker-dealer. ZacksTrade and Zacks.com are separate companies. The web link between the two companies is not a solicitation or offer to invest in a particular security or type of security. ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating individual securities.
If you wish to go to ZacksTrade, click OK. If you do not, click Cancel.
The U.S. consumer inflation rate took a dip to touch 4.0% in May 2023, marking the lowest since March 2021 and slightly below market expectations of 4.1%. This decline was primarily driven by a decrease in energy prices, predominantly gasoline and electricity.
Energy costs fell 11.7%, while food inflation slowed to 6.7%. There were also smaller price increases of 4.7% for new vehicles, 3.5% for apparel, 8.0% for shelter, and 10.2% for transportation services. The cost of medical services was down 0.1%. On a sequential basis, consumer prices nudged up 0.1% in May.
Plus, the core rate, which bars volatile items such as food and energy, has slowed to 5.3%, the lowest since November 2021, making the case stronger for the Fed to opt for a pause in its current cycle of monetary tightening.
Against this backdrop, below, we highlight a few ETF areas that should gain in the near term.
ETF Areas in Focus
Total Market – iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT - Free Report)
Quite expectedly, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq hit fresh 13-month highs as a decrease in inflation tends to favor stocks. A decline in inflation often triggers a slash in interest rates, which subsequently lowers borrowing costs and can potentially boost corporate earnings. Thus, well-managed inflation could bolster equity valuations.
Growth sectors like technology often rely heavily on debt financing, making them particularly responsive to interest rate changes. As inflation moderates and interest rates remain low or steady, these firms can secure less expensive borrowing to fuel their growth. This can potentially lead to enhanced profitability and an uptick in their stock prices.
As the chaos created from bank failures in March 2023 settled down, regional bank stocks bounced back with immense force, due to easing banking volatility. These stocks are now trading at about a seven-week high. Expectations of a less-hawkish policy from the Fed amid a slowdown in inflation increased the attractiveness of regional bank ETFs (read: Regional Bank ETFs: Value Play or Value Trap?).
Small-Caps – iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM - Free Report)
Small-cap stocks and ETFs have been gaining strength lately on the signing of the debt deal, upbeat U.S. jobs data and chances of no rate hike this week. A decline in inflation has strengthened the case for a less-hawkish Fed this week, thus boosting small caps even more (read: 4 Reasons to Bet on Small-Caps ETFs).
Real Estate – Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ - Free Report)
While the sector is struggling from business pressure in commercial real estate space, the latest May inflation data bodes well for the sector. A low rate is a boon for this high-yielding space. Furthermore, real estate companies, known for their substantial debt loads, can fund their operations at lower costs when interest rates are low. The fund VNQ yields 4.13% annually.
Decreased inflation typically results in enhanced consumer purchasing power, potentially uplifting the consumer discretionary sector's performance. This sector includes companies that offer non-essential items. With more disposable income, consumers are likelier to indulge in these kinds of products and services.
In an environment with lower inflation, the worth of fixed-income securities such as bonds usually rises. The reason for this is that the Fed is less likely to hike rates in a low rate environment. If rates or yields of bonds are low, price of bonds will jump. The fund LQD yields 3.71% annually.
See More Zacks Research for These Tickers
Normally $25 each - click below to receive one report FREE:
Image: Bigstock
7 ETF Areas to Tap 2-Year Low Inflation in May
The U.S. consumer inflation rate took a dip to touch 4.0% in May 2023, marking the lowest since March 2021 and slightly below market expectations of 4.1%. This decline was primarily driven by a decrease in energy prices, predominantly gasoline and electricity.
Energy costs fell 11.7%, while food inflation slowed to 6.7%. There were also smaller price increases of 4.7% for new vehicles, 3.5% for apparel, 8.0% for shelter, and 10.2% for transportation services. The cost of medical services was down 0.1%. On a sequential basis, consumer prices nudged up 0.1% in May.
Plus, the core rate, which bars volatile items such as food and energy, has slowed to 5.3%, the lowest since November 2021, making the case stronger for the Fed to opt for a pause in its current cycle of monetary tightening.
Against this backdrop, below, we highlight a few ETF areas that should gain in the near term.
ETF Areas in Focus
Total Market – iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT - Free Report)
Quite expectedly, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq hit fresh 13-month highs as a decrease in inflation tends to favor stocks. A decline in inflation often triggers a slash in interest rates, which subsequently lowers borrowing costs and can potentially boost corporate earnings. Thus, well-managed inflation could bolster equity valuations.
Growth Sector – SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF (SPYG - Free Report)
Growth sectors like technology often rely heavily on debt financing, making them particularly responsive to interest rate changes. As inflation moderates and interest rates remain low or steady, these firms can secure less expensive borrowing to fuel their growth. This can potentially lead to enhanced profitability and an uptick in their stock prices.
Regional Banks – iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF (IAT - Free Report)
As the chaos created from bank failures in March 2023 settled down, regional bank stocks bounced back with immense force, due to easing banking volatility. These stocks are now trading at about a seven-week high. Expectations of a less-hawkish policy from the Fed amid a slowdown in inflation increased the attractiveness of regional bank ETFs (read: Regional Bank ETFs: Value Play or Value Trap?).
Small-Caps – iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM - Free Report)
Small-cap stocks and ETFs have been gaining strength lately on the signing of the debt deal, upbeat U.S. jobs data and chances of no rate hike this week. A decline in inflation has strengthened the case for a less-hawkish Fed this week, thus boosting small caps even more (read: 4 Reasons to Bet on Small-Caps ETFs).
Real Estate – Vanguard Real Estate ETF (VNQ - Free Report)
While the sector is struggling from business pressure in commercial real estate space, the latest May inflation data bodes well for the sector. A low rate is a boon for this high-yielding space. Furthermore, real estate companies, known for their substantial debt loads, can fund their operations at lower costs when interest rates are low. The fund VNQ yields 4.13% annually.
Consumer Discretionary – Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY - Free Report)
Decreased inflation typically results in enhanced consumer purchasing power, potentially uplifting the consumer discretionary sector's performance. This sector includes companies that offer non-essential items. With more disposable income, consumers are likelier to indulge in these kinds of products and services.
Highly-Rated Corporate Bonds – iShares IBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD - Free Report)
In an environment with lower inflation, the worth of fixed-income securities such as bonds usually rises. The reason for this is that the Fed is less likely to hike rates in a low rate environment. If rates or yields of bonds are low, price of bonds will jump. The fund LQD yields 3.71% annually.