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These 2 Auto, Tires and Trucks Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar
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Wall Street watches a company's quarterly report closely to understand as much as possible about its recent performance and what to expect going forward. Of course, one figure often stands out among the rest: earnings.
We know earnings results are vital, but how a company performs compared to bottom line expectations can be even more important when it comes to stock prices, especially in the near-term. This means that investors might want to take advantage of these earnings surprises.
Now that we know how important earnings and earnings surprises are, it's time to show investors how to take advantage of these events to boost their returns by utilizing the Zacks Earnings ESP filter.
The Zacks Earnings ESP, Explained
The Zacks Expected Surprise Prediction, or ESP, works by locking in on the most up-to-date analyst earnings revisions because they can be more accurate than estimates from weeks or even months before the actual release date. The thinking is pretty straightforward: analysts who provide earnings estimates closer to the report are likely to have more information.
With this in mind, the Expected Surprise Prediction compares the Most Accurate Estimate (being the most recent) against the overall Zacks Consensus Estimate. The percentage difference provides the ESP figure. The system also utilizes our core Zacks Rank to provide a stronger system for identifying stocks that might beat their next quarterly earnings estimate and possibly see the stock price climb.
In fact, when we combined a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time. Perhaps most importantly, using these parameters has helped produce 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.
Most stocks, about 60%, fall into the #3 (Hold) category, and they are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. Stocks with a #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) rating, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market, with Strong Buy stocks outperforming more than any other rank.
Should You Consider Workhorse Group?
The last thing we will do today, now that we have a grasp on the ESP and how powerful of a tool it can be, is to quickly look at a qualifying stock. Workhorse Group (WKHS - Free Report) holds a #2 (Buy) at the moment and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at -$0.09 a share five days away from its upcoming earnings release on November 14, 2023.
Workhorse Group's Earnings ESP sits at +21.74%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the -$0.09 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of -$0.12. WKHS is also part of a large group of stocks that boast a positive ESP. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
WKHS is just one of a large group of Auto, Tires and Trucks stocks with a positive ESP figure. Nikola (NKLA - Free Report) is another qualifying stock you may want to consider.
Slated to report earnings on February 22, 2024, Nikola holds a #2 (Buy) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is -$0.09 a share 105 days from its next quarterly update.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Nikola is -$0.14, and when you take the percentage difference between that number and its Most Accurate Estimate, you get the Earnings ESP figure of +35.71%.
WKHS and NKLA's positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported
Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>
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These 2 Auto, Tires and Trucks Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar
Wall Street watches a company's quarterly report closely to understand as much as possible about its recent performance and what to expect going forward. Of course, one figure often stands out among the rest: earnings.
We know earnings results are vital, but how a company performs compared to bottom line expectations can be even more important when it comes to stock prices, especially in the near-term. This means that investors might want to take advantage of these earnings surprises.
Now that we know how important earnings and earnings surprises are, it's time to show investors how to take advantage of these events to boost their returns by utilizing the Zacks Earnings ESP filter.
The Zacks Earnings ESP, Explained
The Zacks Expected Surprise Prediction, or ESP, works by locking in on the most up-to-date analyst earnings revisions because they can be more accurate than estimates from weeks or even months before the actual release date. The thinking is pretty straightforward: analysts who provide earnings estimates closer to the report are likely to have more information.
With this in mind, the Expected Surprise Prediction compares the Most Accurate Estimate (being the most recent) against the overall Zacks Consensus Estimate. The percentage difference provides the ESP figure. The system also utilizes our core Zacks Rank to provide a stronger system for identifying stocks that might beat their next quarterly earnings estimate and possibly see the stock price climb.
In fact, when we combined a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better and a positive Earnings ESP, stocks produced a positive surprise 70% of the time. Perhaps most importantly, using these parameters has helped produce 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.
Most stocks, about 60%, fall into the #3 (Hold) category, and they are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. Stocks with a #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) rating, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market, with Strong Buy stocks outperforming more than any other rank.
Should You Consider Workhorse Group?
The last thing we will do today, now that we have a grasp on the ESP and how powerful of a tool it can be, is to quickly look at a qualifying stock. Workhorse Group (WKHS - Free Report) holds a #2 (Buy) at the moment and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at -$0.09 a share five days away from its upcoming earnings release on November 14, 2023.
Workhorse Group's Earnings ESP sits at +21.74%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the -$0.09 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of -$0.12. WKHS is also part of a large group of stocks that boast a positive ESP. Make sure to utilize our Earnings ESP Filter to uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they've reported.
WKHS is just one of a large group of Auto, Tires and Trucks stocks with a positive ESP figure. Nikola (NKLA - Free Report) is another qualifying stock you may want to consider.
Slated to report earnings on February 22, 2024, Nikola holds a #2 (Buy) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is -$0.09 a share 105 days from its next quarterly update.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Nikola is -$0.14, and when you take the percentage difference between that number and its Most Accurate Estimate, you get the Earnings ESP figure of +35.71%.
WKHS and NKLA's positive ESP figures tell us that both stocks have a good chance at beating analyst expectations in their next earnings report.
Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported
Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>