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Here's Why Investors Should Hold Cigna (CI) Stock for Now

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The Cigna Group (CI - Free Report) is well poised to grow on the back of strategic acquisitions and collaborations, and membership growth. Its diversified product portfolio, wide agent network and growing Evernorth business bode well.

Cigna — with a market cap of $84.2 billion — is a healthcare plan providing company in the United States, with a wide range of products. CI provides pharmacy services, benefits management, care solutions, as well as data and analytics. These services are used by health plans, employers, healthcare providers and government organizations.

Courtesy of solid prospects, this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) stock is worth holding on to at the moment.

Let’s delve deeper.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Cigna’s 2023 earnings is pegged at $24.82 per share, indicating a 6.7% year-over-year rise. It has witnessed six upward estimate revisions in the past 30 days against two in the opposite direction. The company beat earnings estimates in all the last four quarters, with the average surprise being 2.5%.

Cigna Group Price and EPS Surprise

Cigna Group Price and EPS Surprise

Cigna Group price-eps-surprise | Cigna Group Quote

The consensus estimate for 2023 revenues stands at $192.8 billion, suggesting a 6.7% rise. Growing pharmacy revenues, premiums and fees are expected to boost the top line. We expect pharmacy revenues to rise 5% this year, along with a 9.5% jump in premiums. The company remains on track to achieve 6-8% average annual adjusted revenue growth in the long term.

Cigna’s membership has been growing for many quarters now and the trend is expected to continue on expanding its customer base within its U.S. Commercial and Medicare Advantage businesses. Cigna expects total medical customer growth to be a minimum of 1.4 million this year, up from the prior outlook of growth of at least 1.3 million.

Its acquisitions like Express Scripts and collaborations, including those with CarepathRx, Virgin Pulse, VillageMD and others, continue to expand its portfolio and capabilities. It enables the company to provide customers with a holistic range of healthcare solutions.

Cigna has a strong shareholder value boosting program in place. This year, during the Jan 1-Nov 1 period, Cigna bought back 7.7 million shares for around $2.2 billion. As of Nov 1, it had $1.3 billion for further repurchases. It paid $1.1 billion in dividends in the first three quarters. It remains optimistic to pay an attractive dividend and generate an operating cash flow of a minimum of $10.5 billion this year.

Key Concerns

There are a few factors that investors should keep an eye on.

Cigna’s return on assets of 3.9% is below the industry average of 7.3%, suggesting that the company is generating less profit from its assets relative to its industry peers. Its divestments are targeted to reduce less profitable assets and improve returns. Given its ROA, the company has room to improve operational efficiency and optimize assets. Also, its high debt level, with a net debt to capital of 30.7% (against the industry average of 10.8%), can lead to growing interest expenses. Nevertheless, we believe that a systematic and strategic plan of action will drive CI’s long-term growth.

Key Medical Picks

Some better-ranked stocks in the broader Medical space are Enovis Corporation (ENOV - Free Report) , Centene Corporation (CNC - Free Report) and Motus GI Holdings, Inc. (MOTS - Free Report) , each carrying a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) at present. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Enovis’ current-year earnings implies a 4.9% increase from the year-ago reported figure. The consensus mark for its current-year revenues is pegged at $1.7 billion. ENOV beat earnings estimates in all the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 11%.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Centene’s 2023 earnings indicates a 15.2% year-over-year increase to $6.66 per share. It has witnessed three upward estimate revisions over the past 30 days against no movement in the opposite direction. The consensus mark for CNC’s 2023 revenues indicates 4.4% growth from a year ago.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Motus GI’s 2023 bottom suggests a 67.2% year-over-year improvement. It beat earnings estimates in all the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 40.2%. MOTS has witnessed one upward estimate revision over the past 30 days against no movement in the opposite direction.

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